Baseball · LMB - Play Offs · Mexico
Toros de Tijuana vs Tabasco
Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Toros de Tijuana vs Tabasco in LMB - Play Offs (Baseball) on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. Model prediction: Toros de Tijuana 56% vs Tabasco 44%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Mexico • LMB - Play Offs
Toros de Tijuanavs
Tabasco16 Sept • 05:35
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Toros de Tijuana
56%to win
by ~0.92 runs vs Tabasco
Projected Total
9.29runs
5.1 – 4.19
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.86runs
3.49 – 2.37
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toros de Tijuana | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Tabasco | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Tot | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 1.2 |
from last 4+5 games
Toros de Tijuana
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 5.3 — Allowed: 3.7 — Run env: 9
Tabasco
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 4.6 — Allowed: 4.2 — Run env: 8.8
Toros de Tijuana Form
Toros de Tijuana
L0d
W1d
W3d
L4d
W10d
W11d
W12d
L14d
W15d
W20d
By inning:0-40-11-10-00-00-00-30-00-—
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-00-00-00-01-0
By inning:0-00-00-10-01-100-21-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-04-00-00-00-00-10-03-0
By inning:4-11-00-00-00-01-00-02-02-0
Tabasco Form
Tabasco
W0d
L1d
L3d
W4d
W8d
W9d
W10d
W13d
L14d
W16d
By inning:0-40-11-10-00-00-00-30-00-—
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-00-00-00-01-0
By inning:0-00-00-10-01-100-21-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-04-00-00-00-00-10-03-0
By inning:1-20-10-10-00-00-08-01-20-2
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-40-11-10-00-00-00-30-00-—
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-00-00-00-01-0
By inning:0-00-00-10-01-100-21-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-04-00-00-00-00-10-03-0
By inning:3-40-11-10-00-00-00-30-02-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Toros de Tijuana 6 / Tabasco 4. Average total: 9.1.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.1,
"team_2": 4.19,
"total": 9.29
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 56,
"team_2": 44
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 5.3,
"avg_ra": 3.7,
"w_avg_rf": 5.39,
"w_avg_ra": 3.87,
"run_rate": 9,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 4.6,
"avg_ra": 4.2,
"w_avg_rf": 4.7,
"w_avg_ra": 4.22,
"run_rate": 8.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 9.1
},
"confidence": 69,
"winner": {
"team": "Toros de Tijuana",
"probability": 56,
"margin_runs": 0.92,
"opponent": "Tabasco",
"opponent_probability": 44
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.29,
"team_1_proj": 5.1,
"team_2_proj": 4.19,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.49,
"team_2": 2.37,
"total": 5.86,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
1.84,
0.14,
0.87,
0,
0.64,
0,
1.06,
0,
0.55
],
"away": [
0.21,
0.52,
1,
0,
0.64,
0.13,
0.84,
0.21,
0.63
],
"per_inning_total": [
2.05,
0.66,
1.87,
0,
1.28,
0.13,
1.9,
0.21,
1.18
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.49,
"away": 2.37,
"total": 5.86
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.361,
"i2": 0.028,
"i3": 0.171,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.125,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.208,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.107
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0.125,
"i3": 0.24,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.154,
"i6": 0.031,
"i7": 0.2,
"i8": 0.05,
"i9": 0.15
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Tabasco +ML",
"team": "Tabasco",
"win_prob": 44,
"confidence": 69,
"reason": "Tabasco has a live shot (44%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "LMB - Play Offs",
"country": "Mexico",
"match": "Toros de Tijuana vs Tabasco",
"date": "2026-09-16",
"time": "05:35",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Toros de Tijuana",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Tabasco",
"away": "Toros de Tijuana",
"score": "9-1",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
4,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Tabasco",
"away": "Toros de Tijuana",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Toros de Tijuana",
"away": "Tabasco",
"score": "13-2",
"home_points": 13,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
10,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Toros de Tijuana",
"away": "Tabasco",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Monterrey",
"away": "Toros de Tijuana",
"score": "1-10",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
4,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2,
2
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Monterrey",
"away": "Toros de Tijuana",
"score": "7-15",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 15,
"total_points": 22,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "01.09.26",
"home": "Monterrey",
"away": "Toros de Tijuana",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Toros de Tijuana",
"away": "Monterrey",
"score": "0-4",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "29.08.26",
"home": "Toros de Tijuana",
"away": "Monterrey",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "24.08.26",
"home": "Jalisco",
"away": "Toros de Tijuana",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Tabasco",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Tabasco",
"away": "Toros de Tijuana",
"score": "9-1",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
4,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Tabasco",
"away": "Toros de Tijuana",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Toros de Tijuana",
"away": "Tabasco",
"score": "13-2",
"home_points": 13,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
10,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Toros de Tijuana",
"away": "Tabasco",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Puebla",
"away": "Tabasco",
"score": "8-10",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
8,
1,
0
],
"away": [
2,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Puebla",
"away": "Tabasco",
"score": "1-2",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Puebla",
"away": "Tabasco",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "31.08.26",
"home": "Tabasco",
"away": "Puebla",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Tabasco",
"away": "Puebla",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "28.08.26",
"home": "Tabasco",
"away": "Oaxaca",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Tabasco",
"away": "Toros de Tijuana",
"score": "9-1",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
4,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Tabasco",
"away": "Toros de Tijuana",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Toros de Tijuana",
"away": "Tabasco",
"score": "13-2",
"home_points": 13,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
10,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Toros de Tijuana",
"away": "Tabasco",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "22.06.26",
"home": "Toros de Tijuana",
"away": "Tabasco",
"score": "9-6",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
4,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "21.06.26",
"home": "Toros de Tijuana",
"away": "Tabasco",
"score": "4-5",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "20.06.26",
"home": "Toros de Tijuana",
"away": "Tabasco",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "10.06.24",
"home": "Toros de Tijuana",
"away": "Tabasco",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.06.24",
"home": "Toros de Tijuana",
"away": "Tabasco",
"score": "7-9",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.06.24",
"home": "Toros de Tijuana",
"away": "Tabasco",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.1,
"team_2": 4.19,
"total": 9.29
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 56,
"team_2": 44
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 5.3,
"avg_ra": 3.7,
"w_avg_rf": 5.39,
"w_avg_ra": 3.87,
"run_rate": 9,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 4.6,
"avg_ra": 4.2,
"w_avg_rf": 4.7,
"w_avg_ra": 4.22,
"run_rate": 8.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 9.1
},
"confidence": 69,
"winner": {
"team": "Toros de Tijuana",
"probability": 56,
"margin_runs": 0.92,
"opponent": "Tabasco",
"opponent_probability": 44
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.29,
"team_1_proj": 5.1,
"team_2_proj": 4.19,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.49,
"team_2": 2.37,
"total": 5.86,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
1.84,
0.14,
0.87,
0,
0.64,
0,
1.06,
0,
0.55
],
"away": [
0.21,
0.52,
1,
0,
0.64,
0.13,
0.84,
0.21,
0.63
],
"per_inning_total": [
2.05,
0.66,
1.87,
0,
1.28,
0.13,
1.9,
0.21,
1.18
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.49,
"away": 2.37,
"total": 5.86
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.361,
"i2": 0.028,
"i3": 0.171,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.125,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.208,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.107
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0.125,
"i3": 0.24,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.154,
"i6": 0.031,
"i7": 0.2,
"i8": 0.05,
"i9": 0.15
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Tabasco +ML",
"team": "Tabasco",
"win_prob": 44,
"confidence": 69,
"reason": "Tabasco has a live shot (44%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 56,
"team_2": 44
},
"prediction_quality": "medium",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.1,
"team_2": 4.19,
"total": 9.29
},
"predicted_winner": "Toros de Tijuana",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
Know when the next pick goes live.
Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.
Explore more matches and live updates on the Baseball board.