Baseball · NPB · Japan
Chunichi Dragons vs Hiroshima Carp
Sunday, 20 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Chunichi Dragons vs Hiroshima Carp in NPB (Baseball) on Sunday, 20 September 2026. Model prediction: Chunichi Dragons 52% vs Hiroshima Carp 48%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Japan • NPB
Chunichi Dragonsvs
Hiroshima Carp20 Sept • 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Chunichi Dragons
52%to win
by ~0.33 runs vs Hiroshima Carp
Projected Total
6.92runs
3.62 – 3.29
no market line
First 5 (F5)
4.72runs
2.88 – 1.84
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chunichi Dragons | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Hiroshima Carp | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Tot | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
from last 3+4 games
Chunichi Dragons
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
RPG: 3.5 — Allowed: 3 — Run env: 6.5
Hiroshima Carp
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 3 — Allowed: 4 — Run env: 7
Chunichi Dragons Form
Chunichi Dragons
W1d
W2d
L3d
L5d
L6d
W7d
W10d
W11d
L12d
W13d
By inning:2-00-00-00-02-00-00-00-02-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-43-00-03-00-00-00-10-00-0
By inning:0-01-10-22-00-00-00-00-20-—
By inning:0-10-00-11-00-20-10-00-00-—
Hiroshima Carp Form
Hiroshima Carp
W0d
W1d
L2d
L3d
L4d
W6d
L9d
L10d
L11d
W12d
By inning:3-03-10-10-00-20-00-00-03-0
By inning:2-00-00-00-00-00-01-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-20-00-10-01-00-—
By inning:0-01-03-00-00-00-00-00-23-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-10-03-03-0
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-00-00-23-00-00-02-00-00-0
By inning:1-00-10-00-03-10-10-20-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-05-00-10-0
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-10-00-00-00-1
By inning:1-30-00-00-10-00-00-00-00-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Chunichi Dragons 2 / Hiroshima Carp 8. Average total: 7.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.62,
"team_2": 3.29,
"total": 6.92
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 52,
"team_2": 48
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 3.5,
"avg_ra": 3,
"w_avg_rf": 3.52,
"w_avg_ra": 2.88,
"run_rate": 6.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 3.11,
"w_avg_ra": 3.92,
"run_rate": 7,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 8,
"t1_win_rate": 0.2,
"avg_total": 7
},
"confidence": 67,
"winner": {
"team": "Chunichi Dragons",
"probability": 52,
"margin_runs": 0.33,
"opponent": "Hiroshima Carp",
"opponent_probability": 48
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 6.92,
"team_1_proj": 3.62,
"team_2_proj": 3.29,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.88,
"team_2": 1.84,
"total": 4.72,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.24,
0.84,
0.72,
0.6,
0.48,
0.24,
0,
0.48,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0.32,
0.56,
0.55,
0.41,
0.27,
0,
0.41,
0.76
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.24,
1.16,
1.28,
1.15,
0.89,
0.51,
0,
0.89,
0.76
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.88,
"away": 1.84,
"total": 4.72
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 3,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.067,
"i2": 0.233,
"i3": 0.2,
"i4": 0.167,
"i5": 0.133,
"i6": 0.067,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.133,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.098,
"i3": 0.17,
"i4": 0.167,
"i5": 0.125,
"i6": 0.083,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.125,
"i9": 0.232
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Under)",
"pick": "Under (projected 6.9)",
"projected": 6.92,
"confidence": 67,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 6.8 < league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "NPB",
"country": "Japan",
"match": "Chunichi Dragons vs Hiroshima Carp",
"date": "2026-09-20",
"time": "12:00",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Chunichi Dragons",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "14.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "0-6",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "0-1",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
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0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
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0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Yomiuri Giants",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Yomiuri Giants",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "5-1",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
1,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Yomiuri Giants",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "0-3",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "4-8",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "1-1",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Hiroshima Carp",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "4-9",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
3,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "0-3",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
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0,
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0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "2-7",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "0-4",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "5-10",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
1,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "01.09.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
5,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "20.08.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.08.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "4-1",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
3,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.08.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "11-4",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.08.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "01.08.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "31.07.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "12.07.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": null,
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.62,
"team_2": 3.29,
"total": 6.92
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 52,
"team_2": 48
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 3.5,
"avg_ra": 3,
"w_avg_rf": 3.52,
"w_avg_ra": 2.88,
"run_rate": 6.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 3.11,
"w_avg_ra": 3.92,
"run_rate": 7,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 8,
"t1_win_rate": 0.2,
"avg_total": 7
},
"confidence": 67,
"winner": {
"team": "Chunichi Dragons",
"probability": 52,
"margin_runs": 0.33,
"opponent": "Hiroshima Carp",
"opponent_probability": 48
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 6.92,
"team_1_proj": 3.62,
"team_2_proj": 3.29,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.88,
"team_2": 1.84,
"total": 4.72,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.24,
0.84,
0.72,
0.6,
0.48,
0.24,
0,
0.48,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0.32,
0.56,
0.55,
0.41,
0.27,
0,
0.41,
0.76
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.24,
1.16,
1.28,
1.15,
0.89,
0.51,
0,
0.89,
0.76
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.88,
"away": 1.84,
"total": 4.72
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 3,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.067,
"i2": 0.233,
"i3": 0.2,
"i4": 0.167,
"i5": 0.133,
"i6": 0.067,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.133,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.098,
"i3": 0.17,
"i4": 0.167,
"i5": 0.125,
"i6": 0.083,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.125,
"i9": 0.232
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Under)",
"pick": "Under (projected 6.9)",
"projected": 6.92,
"confidence": 67,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 6.8 < league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 52,
"team_2": 48
},
"prediction_quality": "medium",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.62,
"team_2": 3.29,
"total": 6.92
},
"predicted_winner": "Chunichi Dragons",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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