Baseball · PCL - Second stage · Usa
Sacramento River Cats vs Reno Aces
Saturday, 19 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Sacramento River Cats vs Reno Aces in PCL - Second stage (Baseball) on Saturday, 19 September 2026. Model prediction: Sacramento River Cats 60% vs Reno Aces 40%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • PCL - Second stage
Sacramento River Catsvs
Reno Aces19 Sept • 04:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Sacramento River Cats
60%to win
by ~1.56 runs vs Reno Aces
Projected Total
10.26runs
5.91 – 4.35
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.66runs
2.63 – 3.03
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento River … | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Reno Aces | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Tot | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
from last 5+5 games
Sacramento River Cats
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 4.3 — Allowed: 4.2 — Run env: 8.5
Reno Aces
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 4.2 — Allowed: 6.8 — Run env: 11
Sacramento River Cats Form
Sacramento River …
L0d
L1d
L2d
L3d
W4d
L7d
W7d
L8d
L9d
W10d
By inning:1-00-00-01-00-20-00-00-10-—
By inning:0-11-00-02-52-20-10-00-01-—
By inning:0-11-30-00-00-01-00-00-20-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-1
By inning:1-02-02-00-01-01-01-03-10-0
Reno Aces Form
Reno Aces
L0d
W1d
W2d
L3d
L4d
L6d
L7d
W8d
L9d
W10d
By inning:0-02-53-29-02-01-00-00-24-0
By inning:0-10-11-22-00-01-01-10-10-—
By inning:0-11-00-10-00-11-00-00-00-—
By inning:2-12-01-00-00-31-01-00-01-1
By inning:0-02-00-01-00-00-00-00-00-2
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-00-11-32-00-20-02-10-04-0
By inning:0-00-40-20-00-50-10-02-00-—
By inning:0-40-00-00-00-01-00-00-20-—
By inning:0-10-10-00-00-00-10-20-00-—
By inning:0-02-02-00-21-00-10-01-10-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Sacramento River Cats 5 / Reno Aces 5. Average total: 11.8.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.91,
"team_2": 4.35,
"total": 10.26
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 60,
"team_2": 40
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 4.3,
"avg_ra": 4.2,
"w_avg_rf": 4.23,
"w_avg_ra": 4.3,
"run_rate": 8.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 4.2,
"avg_ra": 6.8,
"w_avg_rf": 4.4,
"w_avg_ra": 7.19,
"run_rate": 11,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 5,
"t2_wins": 5,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 11.8
},
"confidence": 83,
"winner": {
"team": "Sacramento River Cats",
"probability": 60,
"margin_runs": 1.56,
"opponent": "Reno Aces",
"opponent_probability": 40
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 10.26,
"team_1_proj": 5.91,
"team_2_proj": 4.35,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.63,
"team_2": 3.03,
"total": 5.66,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.33,
0.59,
0,
0.66,
1.05,
0.13,
0,
1.97,
1.18
],
"away": [
0.22,
1.31,
0.41,
1.01,
0.08,
0.76,
0.28,
0,
0.27
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.55,
1.9,
0.41,
1.67,
1.13,
0.89,
0.28,
1.97,
1.45
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.63,
"away": 3.03,
"total": 5.66
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.056,
"i2": 0.1,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.111,
"i5": 0.178,
"i6": 0.022,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.333,
"i9": 0.2
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0.302,
"i3": 0.094,
"i4": 0.232,
"i5": 0.019,
"i6": 0.175,
"i7": 0.065,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.063
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Sacramento River Cats to win",
"team": "Sacramento River Cats",
"win_prob": 60,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Projected edge ~1.6 runs; form 30% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 50% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Reno Aces +ML",
"team": "Reno Aces",
"win_prob": 40,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Reno Aces has a live shot (40%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "PCL - Second stage",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Sacramento River Cats vs Reno Aces",
"date": "2026-09-19",
"time": "04:45",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Sacramento River Cats",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "9-6",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
2,
2,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
5,
2,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "6-2",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "1-11",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 11,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
2,
2,
0,
1,
1,
1,
3,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Sacramento River Cats",
"away": "Salt Lake Bees",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Sacramento River Cats",
"away": "Salt Lake Bees",
"score": "6-3",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Sacramento River Cats",
"away": "Salt Lake Bees",
"score": "7-8",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Sacramento River Cats",
"away": "Salt Lake Bees",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Sacramento River Cats",
"away": "Salt Lake Bees",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Reno Aces",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Reno Aces",
"away": "Albuquerque Isotopes",
"score": "9-21",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 21,
"total_points": 30,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
3,
9,
2,
1,
0,
0,
4
],
"away": [
0,
5,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Reno Aces",
"away": "Albuquerque Isotopes",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
2,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
1,
2,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Reno Aces",
"away": "Albuquerque Isotopes",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Reno Aces",
"away": "Albuquerque Isotopes",
"score": "5-8",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
2,
1,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Reno Aces",
"away": "Albuquerque Isotopes",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Sugar Land",
"away": "Reno Aces",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Sugar Land",
"away": "Reno Aces",
"score": "9-2",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Sugar Land",
"away": "Reno Aces",
"score": "5-8",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Sugar Land",
"away": "Reno Aces",
"score": "11-4",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Sugar Land",
"away": "Reno Aces",
"score": "1-2",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Reno Aces",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "7-9",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
2,
0,
0,
2,
0,
4
],
"away": [
0,
1,
3,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Reno Aces",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "12-2",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
],
"away": [
0,
4,
2,
0,
5,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.08.26",
"home": "Reno Aces",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.08.26",
"home": "Reno Aces",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "5-0",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.08.26",
"home": "Reno Aces",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "4-6",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
2,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.08.26",
"home": "Reno Aces",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "3-12",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 12,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "31.05.26",
"home": "Reno Aces",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "11-13",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 13,
"total_points": 24,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "31.05.26",
"home": "Reno Aces",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "6-4",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "30.05.26",
"home": "Reno Aces",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "29.05.26",
"home": "Reno Aces",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "2-7",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.91,
"team_2": 4.35,
"total": 10.26
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 60,
"team_2": 40
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 4.3,
"avg_ra": 4.2,
"w_avg_rf": 4.23,
"w_avg_ra": 4.3,
"run_rate": 8.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 4.2,
"avg_ra": 6.8,
"w_avg_rf": 4.4,
"w_avg_ra": 7.19,
"run_rate": 11,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 5,
"t2_wins": 5,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 11.8
},
"confidence": 83,
"winner": {
"team": "Sacramento River Cats",
"probability": 60,
"margin_runs": 1.56,
"opponent": "Reno Aces",
"opponent_probability": 40
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 10.26,
"team_1_proj": 5.91,
"team_2_proj": 4.35,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.63,
"team_2": 3.03,
"total": 5.66,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.33,
0.59,
0,
0.66,
1.05,
0.13,
0,
1.97,
1.18
],
"away": [
0.22,
1.31,
0.41,
1.01,
0.08,
0.76,
0.28,
0,
0.27
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.55,
1.9,
0.41,
1.67,
1.13,
0.89,
0.28,
1.97,
1.45
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.63,
"away": 3.03,
"total": 5.66
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.056,
"i2": 0.1,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.111,
"i5": 0.178,
"i6": 0.022,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.333,
"i9": 0.2
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0.302,
"i3": 0.094,
"i4": 0.232,
"i5": 0.019,
"i6": 0.175,
"i7": 0.065,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.063
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Sacramento River Cats to win",
"team": "Sacramento River Cats",
"win_prob": 60,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Projected edge ~1.6 runs; form 30% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 50% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Reno Aces +ML",
"team": "Reno Aces",
"win_prob": 40,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Reno Aces has a live shot (40%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 60,
"team_2": 40
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.91,
"team_2": 4.35,
"total": 10.26
},
"predicted_winner": "Sacramento River Cats",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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