Baseball · IL - Second stage · Usa

Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats

Archive · Sunday, 06 September 2026

Archived fixture

A final score is not available in this archive.

Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats in IL - Second stage (Baseball) was scheduled for Sunday, 06 September 2026. A final score is not available in this archive. Pre-match model prediction: Nashville Sounds 64% vs Louisville Bats 36%. See the head-to-head record and recent form.

UsaIL - Second stage
Nashville SoundsNashville SoundsvsLouisville BatsLouisville Bats
06 Sept02:35
Predicted Winner
Nashville Sounds
64%to win
by ~2.33 runs vs Louisville Ba…
Projected Total
10.54runs
6.444.1
no market line
First 5 (F5)
4.21runs
3.220.99
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected
123456789
Nashville Sounds0.01.00.30.61.31.00.02.30.0
Louisville Bats0.01.00.00.00.00.50.80.31.6
Tot0.02.00.30.61.31.50.82.51.6
from last 5+5 games
Nashville Sounds
Last 10: 73 (70%)
RPG: 6.5 — Allowed: 5 — Run env: 11.5
Louisville Bats
Last 10: 19 (10%)
RPG: 3.7 — Allowed: 6 — Run env: 9.7
Nashville Sounds Form
Nashville Sounds
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
7W · 3L
Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats
5-4W
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-00-00-03-00-5
Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats
7-6W
By inning:0-03-20-00-03-00-20-30-00-
Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats
3-2W
By inning:0-00-20-01-01-00-00-00-10-
Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats
3-2W
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-10-02-00-2
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp vs Nashville Sounds
4-3L
By inning:1-01-00-11-00-00-30-00-00-
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp vs Nashville Sounds
5-13W
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp vs Nashville Sounds
5-8W
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp vs Nashville Sounds
10-8L
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp vs Nashville Sounds
6-1L
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp vs Nashville Sounds
6-14W
Louisville Bats Form
Louisville Bats
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
1W · 9L
Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats
5-4L
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-00-00-03-00-5
Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats
7-6L
By inning:0-03-20-00-03-00-20-30-00-
Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats
3-2L
By inning:0-00-20-01-01-00-00-00-10-
Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats
3-2L
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-10-02-00-2
Louisville Bats vs Gwinnett Stripers
5-4W
By inning:0-01-00-20-00-10-12-00-11-
Louisville Bats vs Gwinnett Stripers
7-13L
Louisville Bats vs Gwinnett Stripers
5-7L
Louisville Bats vs Gwinnett Stripers
3-5L
Louisville Bats vs Gwinnett Stripers
2-5L
Louisville Bats vs Gwinnett Stripers
1-8L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats
5-4
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-00-00-03-00-5
Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats
7-6
By inning:0-03-20-00-03-00-20-30-00-
Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats
3-2
By inning:0-00-20-01-01-00-00-00-10-
Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats
3-2
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-10-02-00-2
Louisville Bats vs Nashville Sounds
0-8
By inning:2-01-00-00-02-00-00-03-00-0
Louisville Bats vs Nashville Sounds
10-8
Louisville Bats vs Nashville Sounds
9-6
Louisville Bats vs Nashville Sounds
6-9
Louisville Bats vs Nashville Sounds
1-3
Louisville Bats vs Nashville Sounds
6-4
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Nashville Sounds 7 / Louisville Bats 3. Average total: 10.2.
Model output
{
  "expected_runs": {
    "team_1": 6.44,
    "team_2": 4.1,
    "total": 10.54
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 64,
    "team_2": 36
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 7,
      "losses": 3,
      "win_rate": 0.7,
      "avg_rf": 6.5,
      "avg_ra": 5,
      "w_avg_rf": 6.21,
      "w_avg_ra": 4.78,
      "run_rate": 11.5,
      "blowout_rate": 0.3
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 1,
      "losses": 9,
      "win_rate": 0.1,
      "avg_rf": 3.7,
      "avg_ra": 6,
      "w_avg_rf": 3.83,
      "w_avg_ra": 5.86,
      "run_rate": 9.7,
      "blowout_rate": 0.2
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 10,
    "t1_wins": 7,
    "t2_wins": 3,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.7,
    "avg_total": 10.2
  },
  "confidence": 85,
  "winner": {
    "team": "Nashville Sounds",
    "probability": 64,
    "margin_runs": 2.33,
    "opponent": "Louisville Bats",
    "opponent_probability": 36
  },
  "total_runs": {
    "projected_total": 10.54,
    "team_1_proj": 6.44,
    "team_2_proj": 4.1,
    "market": null
  },
  "first_five": {
    "team_1": 3.22,
    "team_2": 0.99,
    "total": 4.21,
    "source": "projected_from_form"
  },
  "inning_scores": null,
  "inning_prediction": {
    "home": [
      0,
      0.97,
      0.32,
      0.64,
      1.29,
      0.97,
      0,
      2.25,
      0
    ],
    "away": [
      0,
      0.99,
      0,
      0,
      0,
      0.51,
      0.76,
      0.28,
      1.57
    ],
    "per_inning_total": [
      0,
      1.96,
      0.32,
      0.64,
      1.29,
      1.48,
      0.76,
      2.53,
      1.57
    ],
    "first_five": {
      "home": 3.22,
      "away": 0.99,
      "total": 4.21
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 5,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "i1": 0,
      "i2": 0.15,
      "i3": 0.05,
      "i4": 0.1,
      "i5": 0.2,
      "i6": 0.15,
      "i7": 0,
      "i8": 0.35,
      "i9": 0
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "i1": 0,
      "i2": 0.24,
      "i3": 0,
      "i4": 0,
      "i5": 0,
      "i6": 0.124,
      "i7": 0.186,
      "i8": 0.067,
      "i9": 0.383
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "pick": "Nashville Sounds to win",
      "team": "Nashville Sounds",
      "win_prob": 64,
      "confidence": 85,
      "reason": "Projected edge ~2.3 runs; form 70% vs 10% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
    },
    "high_risk": {
      "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
      "pick": "Louisville Bats +ML",
      "team": "Louisville Bats",
      "win_prob": 36,
      "confidence": 85,
      "reason": "Louisville Bats has a live shot (36%) at a price the market may shade."
    }
  },
  "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "baseball",
  "league": "IL - Second stage",
  "country": "Usa",
  "match": "Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats",
  "date": "2026-09-06",
  "time": "02:35",
  "status": null,
  "score": "{'home': 3, 'away': 5}",
  "innings": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Nashville Sounds",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Nashville Sounds",
        "away": "Louisville Bats",
        "score": "5-4",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            5
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Nashville Sounds",
        "away": "Louisville Bats",
        "score": "7-6",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            3,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            3,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Nashville Sounds",
        "away": "Louisville Bats",
        "score": "3-2",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Nashville Sounds",
        "away": "Louisville Bats",
        "score": "3-2",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            2
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp",
        "away": "Nashville Sounds",
        "score": "4-3",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            1,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp",
        "away": "Nashville Sounds",
        "score": "5-13",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 13,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp",
        "away": "Nashville Sounds",
        "score": "5-8",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp",
        "away": "Nashville Sounds",
        "score": "10-8",
        "home_points": 10,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp",
        "away": "Nashville Sounds",
        "score": "6-1",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp",
        "away": "Nashville Sounds",
        "score": "6-14",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 14,
        "total_points": 20,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Louisville Bats",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Nashville Sounds",
        "away": "Louisville Bats",
        "score": "5-4",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            5
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Nashville Sounds",
        "away": "Louisville Bats",
        "score": "7-6",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            3,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            3,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Nashville Sounds",
        "away": "Louisville Bats",
        "score": "3-2",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Nashville Sounds",
        "away": "Louisville Bats",
        "score": "3-2",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            2
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Louisville Bats",
        "away": "Gwinnett Stripers",
        "score": "5-4",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            1
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Louisville Bats",
        "away": "Gwinnett Stripers",
        "score": "7-13",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 13,
        "total_points": 20,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Louisville Bats",
        "away": "Gwinnett Stripers",
        "score": "5-7",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Louisville Bats",
        "away": "Gwinnett Stripers",
        "score": "3-5",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Louisville Bats",
        "away": "Gwinnett Stripers",
        "score": "2-5",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Louisville Bats",
        "away": "Gwinnett Stripers",
        "score": "1-8",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Nashville Sounds",
        "away": "Louisville Bats",
        "score": "5-4",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            5
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Nashville Sounds",
        "away": "Louisville Bats",
        "score": "7-6",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            3,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            3,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Nashville Sounds",
        "away": "Louisville Bats",
        "score": "3-2",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Nashville Sounds",
        "away": "Louisville Bats",
        "score": "3-2",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            2
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Louisville Bats",
        "away": "Nashville Sounds",
        "score": "0-8",
        "home_points": 0,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            2,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Louisville Bats",
        "away": "Nashville Sounds",
        "score": "10-8",
        "home_points": 10,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Louisville Bats",
        "away": "Nashville Sounds",
        "score": "9-6",
        "home_points": 9,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Louisville Bats",
        "away": "Nashville Sounds",
        "score": "6-9",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 9,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Louisville Bats",
        "away": "Nashville Sounds",
        "score": "1-3",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 4,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Louisville Bats",
        "away": "Nashville Sounds",
        "score": "6-4",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 6.44,
      "team_2": 4.1,
      "total": 10.54
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 64,
      "team_2": 36
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 7,
        "losses": 3,
        "win_rate": 0.7,
        "avg_rf": 6.5,
        "avg_ra": 5,
        "w_avg_rf": 6.21,
        "w_avg_ra": 4.78,
        "run_rate": 11.5,
        "blowout_rate": 0.3
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 1,
        "losses": 9,
        "win_rate": 0.1,
        "avg_rf": 3.7,
        "avg_ra": 6,
        "w_avg_rf": 3.83,
        "w_avg_ra": 5.86,
        "run_rate": 9.7,
        "blowout_rate": 0.2
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 10,
      "t1_wins": 7,
      "t2_wins": 3,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.7,
      "avg_total": 10.2
    },
    "confidence": 85,
    "winner": {
      "team": "Nashville Sounds",
      "probability": 64,
      "margin_runs": 2.33,
      "opponent": "Louisville Bats",
      "opponent_probability": 36
    },
    "total_runs": {
      "projected_total": 10.54,
      "team_1_proj": 6.44,
      "team_2_proj": 4.1,
      "market": null
    },
    "first_five": {
      "team_1": 3.22,
      "team_2": 0.99,
      "total": 4.21,
      "source": "projected_from_form"
    },
    "inning_scores": null,
    "inning_prediction": {
      "home": [
        0,
        0.97,
        0.32,
        0.64,
        1.29,
        0.97,
        0,
        2.25,
        0
      ],
      "away": [
        0,
        0.99,
        0,
        0,
        0,
        0.51,
        0.76,
        0.28,
        1.57
      ],
      "per_inning_total": [
        0,
        1.96,
        0.32,
        0.64,
        1.29,
        1.48,
        0.76,
        2.53,
        1.57
      ],
      "first_five": {
        "home": 3.22,
        "away": 0.99,
        "total": 4.21
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 5,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "i1": 0,
        "i2": 0.15,
        "i3": 0.05,
        "i4": 0.1,
        "i5": 0.2,
        "i6": 0.15,
        "i7": 0,
        "i8": 0.35,
        "i9": 0
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "i1": 0,
        "i2": 0.24,
        "i3": 0,
        "i4": 0,
        "i5": 0,
        "i6": 0.124,
        "i7": 0.186,
        "i8": 0.067,
        "i9": 0.383
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": {
        "market": "moneyline",
        "pick": "Nashville Sounds to win",
        "team": "Nashville Sounds",
        "win_prob": 64,
        "confidence": 85,
        "reason": "Projected edge ~2.3 runs; form 70% vs 10% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
      },
      "high_risk": {
        "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
        "pick": "Louisville Bats +ML",
        "team": "Louisville Bats",
        "win_prob": 36,
        "confidence": 85,
        "reason": "Louisville Bats has a live shot (36%) at a price the market may shade."
      }
    },
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  },
  "model": {
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 64,
      "team_2": 36
    },
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 6.44,
      "team_2": 4.1,
      "total": 10.54
    },
    "predicted_winner": "Nashville Sounds",
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  },
  "_page_published_at": "2026-09-05T07:28:09.071194+03:00",
  "_page_modified_at": "2026-09-05T07:28:09.071194+03:00"
}

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