Baseball · MLB · Usa

St.Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

St.Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals in MLB (Baseball) on Sunday, 20 September 2026. Model prediction: St.Louis Cardinals 58% vs Washington Nationals 42%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

UsaMLB
St.Louis CardinalsSt.Louis CardinalsvsWashington NationalsWashington Nationals
20 Sept02:15
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
St.Louis Cardinals
58%to win
by ~1.23 runs vs Washington Na…
Projected Total
9.65runs
5.444.21
no market line
First 5 (F5)
3.95runs
2.691.26
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected
123456789
St.Louis Cardinals0.51.10.40.20.51.10.01.30.4
Washington Nation…0.30.00.30.30.30.00.51.60.8
Tot0.81.10.60.50.91.10.52.91.1
from last 5+5 games
St.Louis Cardinals
Last 10: 55 (50%)
RPG: 5.2 — Allowed: 4.9 — Run env: 10.1
Washington Nationals
Last 10: 37 (30%)
RPG: 3.7 — Allowed: 5.7 — Run env: 9.4
St.Louis Cardinals Form
St.Louis Cardinals
W0d
W2d
L2d
W3d
L6d
L6d
L7d
W9d
L9d
W10d
5W · 5L
15 Sept
St.Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants
2-1W
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-21-00-00-00-
13 Sept
St.Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White Sox
3-1W
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-00-30-00-00-
13 Sept
St.Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White Sox
5-6L
By inning:0-00-30-01-13-00-00-00-12-0
12 Sept
St.Louis Cardinals vs Chicago White Sox
7-3W
By inning:1-10-11-10-00-30-00-11-00-
09 Sept
San Francisco Giants vs St.Louis Cardinals
7-6L
By inning:0-11-03-00-01-01-00-00-60-
09 Sept
San Francisco Giants vs St.Louis Cardinals
2-1L
08 Sept
San Francisco Giants vs St.Louis Cardinals
5-4L
06 Sept
Colorado Rockies vs St.Louis Cardinals
8-10W
06 Sept
Colorado Rockies vs St.Louis Cardinals
10-7L
05 Sept
Colorado Rockies vs St.Louis Cardinals
6-7W
Washington Nationals Form
Washington Nation…
W2d
W3d
W3d
L6d
L6d
L7d
L8d
L9d
L10d
L13d
3W · 7L
13 Sept
Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Angels
6-5W
By inning:0-00-00-01-01-00-10-12-41-
12 Sept
Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Angels
6-5W
By inning:0-10-30-00-00-00-00-03-02-1
12 Sept
Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Angels
4-3W
By inning:1-00-00-00-10-00-01-00-31-
09 Sept
San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals
9-2L
By inning:0-00-02-30-20-20-00-10-10-
09 Sept
San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals
5-4L
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-02-00-11-40-
08 Sept
San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals
3-2L
07 Sept
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals
7-5L
06 Sept
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals
6-5L
05 Sept
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals
5-3L
02 Sept
Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves
0-9L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
08 Apr
Washington Nationals vs St.Louis Cardinals
1-6
By inning:0-02-00-10-01-00-01-00-02-0
08 Apr
Washington Nationals vs St.Louis Cardinals
6-7
By inning:2-10-00-10-00-20-11-02-00-0
07 Apr
Washington Nationals vs St.Louis Cardinals
9-6
By inning:0-20-00-00-01-02-10-03-60-
19 Mar
St.Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals
5-1
By inning:0-11-00-20-00-00-00-00-20-
17 Mar
Washington Nationals vs St.Louis Cardinals
1-0
By inning:0-10-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-
15 Mar
St.Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals
6-3
11 Mar
Washington Nationals vs St.Louis Cardinals
3-1
25 Feb
Washington Nationals vs St.Louis Cardinals
6-1
21 Feb
St.Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals
2-6
11 Jul
St.Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals
8-1
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — St.Louis Cardinals 5 / Washington Nationals 5. Average total: 7.9.
Model output
{
  "expected_runs": {
    "team_1": 5.44,
    "team_2": 4.21,
    "total": 9.65
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 58,
    "team_2": 42
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 5,
      "losses": 5,
      "win_rate": 0.5,
      "avg_rf": 5.2,
      "avg_ra": 4.9,
      "w_avg_rf": 4.93,
      "w_avg_ra": 4.52,
      "run_rate": 10.1,
      "blowout_rate": 0
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 3,
      "losses": 7,
      "win_rate": 0.3,
      "avg_rf": 3.7,
      "avg_ra": 5.7,
      "w_avg_rf": 3.9,
      "w_avg_ra": 5.56,
      "run_rate": 9.4,
      "blowout_rate": 0.2
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 10,
    "t1_wins": 5,
    "t2_wins": 5,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.5,
    "avg_total": 7.9
  },
  "confidence": 71,
  "winner": {
    "team": "St.Louis Cardinals",
    "probability": 58,
    "margin_runs": 1.23,
    "opponent": "Washington Nationals",
    "opponent_probability": 42
  },
  "total_runs": {
    "projected_total": 9.65,
    "team_1_proj": 5.44,
    "team_2_proj": 4.21,
    "market": null
  },
  "first_five": {
    "team_1": 2.69,
    "team_2": 1.26,
    "total": 3.95,
    "source": "projected_from_form"
  },
  "inning_scores": null,
  "inning_prediction": {
    "home": [
      0.52,
      1.09,
      0.36,
      0.18,
      0.54,
      1.09,
      0,
      1.3,
      0.36
    ],
    "away": [
      0.28,
      0,
      0.28,
      0.35,
      0.35,
      0,
      0.54,
      1.61,
      0.79
    ],
    "per_inning_total": [
      0.8,
      1.09,
      0.64,
      0.53,
      0.89,
      1.09,
      0.54,
      2.91,
      1.15
    ],
    "first_five": {
      "home": 2.69,
      "away": 1.26,
      "total": 3.95
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 5,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.095,
      "i2": 0.2,
      "i3": 0.067,
      "i4": 0.033,
      "i5": 0.1,
      "i6": 0.2,
      "i7": 0,
      "i8": 0.238,
      "i9": 0.067
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.067,
      "i2": 0,
      "i3": 0.067,
      "i4": 0.084,
      "i5": 0.084,
      "i6": 0,
      "i7": 0.129,
      "i8": 0.382,
      "i9": 0.187
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": null,
    "high_risk": {
      "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
      "pick": "Washington Nationals +ML",
      "team": "Washington Nationals",
      "win_prob": 42,
      "confidence": 71,
      "reason": "Washington Nationals has a live shot (42%) at a price the market may shade."
    }
  },
  "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "baseball",
  "league": "MLB",
  "country": "Usa",
  "match": "St.Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals",
  "date": "2026-09-20",
  "time": "02:15",
  "status": null,
  "score": null,
  "innings": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "St.Louis Cardinals",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "15.09.26",
        "home": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "away": "San Francisco Giants",
        "score": "2-1",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 3,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "away": "Chicago White Sox",
        "score": "3-1",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 4,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
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            0,
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            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
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            3,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "away": "Chicago White Sox",
        "score": "5-6",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            3,
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          ],
          "away": [
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            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "away": "Chicago White Sox",
        "score": "7-3",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
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          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            1,
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            3,
            0,
            1,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "San Francisco Giants",
        "away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "score": "7-6",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            3,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0,
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            0
          ],
          "away": [
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            0,
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            0,
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            6
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "San Francisco Giants",
        "away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "score": "2-1",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 3,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "08.09.26",
        "home": "San Francisco Giants",
        "away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "score": "5-4",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Colorado Rockies",
        "away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "score": "8-10",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 10,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Colorado Rockies",
        "away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "score": "10-7",
        "home_points": 10,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 17,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Colorado Rockies",
        "away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "score": "6-7",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Washington Nationals",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Washington Nationals",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "6-5",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Washington Nationals",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "6-5",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Washington Nationals",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "4-3",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
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          "away": [
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            0,
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            0,
            0,
            3
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "Washington Nationals",
        "score": "9-2",
        "home_points": 9,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
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            0,
            3,
            2,
            2,
            0,
            1,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "Washington Nationals",
        "score": "5-4",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            4
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "08.09.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "Washington Nationals",
        "score": "3-2",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "07.09.26",
        "home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
        "away": "Washington Nationals",
        "score": "7-5",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
        "away": "Washington Nationals",
        "score": "6-5",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
        "away": "Washington Nationals",
        "score": "5-3",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "02.09.26",
        "home": "Washington Nationals",
        "away": "Atlanta Braves",
        "score": "0-9",
        "home_points": 0,
        "away_points": 9,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "08.04.26",
        "home": "Washington Nationals",
        "away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "score": "1-6",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            2,
            0,
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            1,
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            1,
            0,
            2
          ],
          "away": [
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            0,
            1,
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            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "08.04.26",
        "home": "Washington Nationals",
        "away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "score": "6-7",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            2,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
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            2,
            1,
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "07.04.26",
        "home": "Washington Nationals",
        "away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "score": "9-6",
        "home_points": 9,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
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            1,
            2,
            0,
            3,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            6
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "19.03.26",
        "home": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "away": "Washington Nationals",
        "score": "5-1",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 6,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "17.03.26",
        "home": "Washington Nationals",
        "away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "score": "1-0",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 1,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "15.03.26",
        "home": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "away": "Washington Nationals",
        "score": "6-3",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "11.03.26",
        "home": "Washington Nationals",
        "away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "score": "3-1",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 4,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "25.02.26",
        "home": "Washington Nationals",
        "away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "score": "6-1",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "21.02.26",
        "home": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "away": "Washington Nationals",
        "score": "2-6",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "11.07.25",
        "home": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "away": "Washington Nationals",
        "score": "8-1",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": null,
  "analysis": {
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 5.44,
      "team_2": 4.21,
      "total": 9.65
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 58,
      "team_2": 42
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 5,
        "losses": 5,
        "win_rate": 0.5,
        "avg_rf": 5.2,
        "avg_ra": 4.9,
        "w_avg_rf": 4.93,
        "w_avg_ra": 4.52,
        "run_rate": 10.1,
        "blowout_rate": 0
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 3,
        "losses": 7,
        "win_rate": 0.3,
        "avg_rf": 3.7,
        "avg_ra": 5.7,
        "w_avg_rf": 3.9,
        "w_avg_ra": 5.56,
        "run_rate": 9.4,
        "blowout_rate": 0.2
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 10,
      "t1_wins": 5,
      "t2_wins": 5,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.5,
      "avg_total": 7.9
    },
    "confidence": 71,
    "winner": {
      "team": "St.Louis Cardinals",
      "probability": 58,
      "margin_runs": 1.23,
      "opponent": "Washington Nationals",
      "opponent_probability": 42
    },
    "total_runs": {
      "projected_total": 9.65,
      "team_1_proj": 5.44,
      "team_2_proj": 4.21,
      "market": null
    },
    "first_five": {
      "team_1": 2.69,
      "team_2": 1.26,
      "total": 3.95,
      "source": "projected_from_form"
    },
    "inning_scores": null,
    "inning_prediction": {
      "home": [
        0.52,
        1.09,
        0.36,
        0.18,
        0.54,
        1.09,
        0,
        1.3,
        0.36
      ],
      "away": [
        0.28,
        0,
        0.28,
        0.35,
        0.35,
        0,
        0.54,
        1.61,
        0.79
      ],
      "per_inning_total": [
        0.8,
        1.09,
        0.64,
        0.53,
        0.89,
        1.09,
        0.54,
        2.91,
        1.15
      ],
      "first_five": {
        "home": 2.69,
        "away": 1.26,
        "total": 3.95
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 5,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.095,
        "i2": 0.2,
        "i3": 0.067,
        "i4": 0.033,
        "i5": 0.1,
        "i6": 0.2,
        "i7": 0,
        "i8": 0.238,
        "i9": 0.067
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.067,
        "i2": 0,
        "i3": 0.067,
        "i4": 0.084,
        "i5": 0.084,
        "i6": 0,
        "i7": 0.129,
        "i8": 0.382,
        "i9": 0.187
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": null,
      "high_risk": {
        "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
        "pick": "Washington Nationals +ML",
        "team": "Washington Nationals",
        "win_prob": 42,
        "confidence": 71,
        "reason": "Washington Nationals has a live shot (42%) at a price the market may shade."
      }
    },
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  },
  "model": {
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 58,
      "team_2": 42
    },
    "prediction_quality": "medium",
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 5.44,
      "team_2": 4.21,
      "total": 9.65
    },
    "predicted_winner": "St.Louis Cardinals",
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  }
}

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