Baseball · MLB · Usa
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers
Thursday, 17 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers in MLB (Baseball) on Thursday, 17 September 2026. Model prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates 43% vs Milwaukee Brewers 57%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Pittsburgh Piratesvs
Milwaukee Brewers17 Sept • 19:35
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Milwaukee Brewers
57%to win
by ~1.06 runs vs Pittsburgh Pi…
Projected Total
9.95runs
4.44 – 5.51
no market line
First 5 (F5)
3.58runs
2.13 – 1.45
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| Tot | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
from last 4+4 games
Pittsburgh Pirates
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 3.2 — Allowed: 3.2 — Run env: 6.4
Milwaukee Brewers
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
RPG: 7.4 — Allowed: 5.1 — Run env: 12.5
Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Pittsburgh Pirates
W2d
L3d
L4d
W4d
W5d
W6d
W9d
L9d
W10d
W12d
By inning:1-00-00-00-00-23-10-00-00-—
By inning:0-10-00-10-00-03-00-00-20-—
By inning:1-00-30-20-40-01-20-10-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-01-00-00-00-01-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-01-00-03-10-10-0
Milwaukee Brewers Form
Milwaukee Brewers
L2d
W2d
W3d
W5d
W6d
W8d
L9d
L9d
W10d
L11d
By inning:0-00-20-00-00-03-00-11-00-0
By inning:0-41-01-13-30-50-00-04-00-—
By inning:0-20-60-00-10-80-00-00-30-—
By inning:0-30-30-11-00-00-10-00-05-—
By inning:1-10-00-00-00-00-00-00-02-2
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-10-00-12-00-20-10-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-30-00-12-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-01-10-21-10-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-03-01-00-10-20-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-40-02-100-00-00-03-00-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Pittsburgh Pirates 6 / Milwaukee Brewers 4. Average total: 8.3.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.44,
"team_2": 5.51,
"total": 9.95
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 43,
"team_2": 57
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 3.2,
"avg_ra": 3.2,
"w_avg_rf": 3.23,
"w_avg_ra": 3.41,
"run_rate": 6.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_rf": 7.4,
"avg_ra": 5.1,
"w_avg_rf": 7.8,
"w_avg_ra": 5.06,
"run_rate": 12.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 8.3
},
"confidence": 80,
"winner": {
"team": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"probability": 57,
"margin_runs": 1.06,
"opponent": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"opponent_probability": 43
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.95,
"team_1_proj": 4.44,
"team_2_proj": 5.51,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.13,
"team_2": 1.45,
"total": 3.58,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.28,
0.28,
0.46,
0.37,
0.74,
0.56,
0.65,
1.11,
0
],
"away": [
0.46,
0.15,
0.15,
0.69,
0,
1.03,
0,
0.96,
2.06
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.74,
0.43,
0.61,
1.06,
0.74,
1.59,
0.65,
2.07,
2.06
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.13,
"away": 1.45,
"total": 3.58
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.062,
"i2": 0.062,
"i3": 0.104,
"i4": 0.083,
"i5": 0.167,
"i6": 0.125,
"i7": 0.146,
"i8": 0.25,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.083,
"i2": 0.028,
"i3": 0.028,
"i4": 0.125,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.188,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.174,
"i9": 0.375
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Pittsburgh Pirates +ML",
"team": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"win_prob": 43,
"confidence": 80,
"reason": "Pittsburgh Pirates has a live shot (43%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers",
"date": "2026-09-17",
"time": "19:35",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "12-2",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
3,
2,
4,
0,
2,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "2-4",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
3,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "3-9",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"away": "Los Angeles Angels",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"away": "Los Angeles Angels",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"away": "Los Angeles Angels",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"away": "San Francisco Giants",
"score": "5-2",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "13-9",
"home_points": 13,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 22,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
4,
0
],
"away": [
4,
0,
1,
3,
5,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "20-0",
"home_points": 20,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
6,
0,
1,
8,
0,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "8-6",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
5
],
"away": [
3,
3,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "12-8",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "7-10",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 17,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "06.08.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "5-2",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
1,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.08.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "4-2",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.08.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "4-2",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.08.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
3,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
2,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.07.26",
"home": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "14-5",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 19,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0
],
"away": [
0,
4,
0,
10,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.07.26",
"home": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "11.07.26",
"home": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "7-6",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "26.04.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "5-0",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "26.04.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "25.04.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "0-6",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.44,
"team_2": 5.51,
"total": 9.95
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 43,
"team_2": 57
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 3.2,
"avg_ra": 3.2,
"w_avg_rf": 3.23,
"w_avg_ra": 3.41,
"run_rate": 6.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_rf": 7.4,
"avg_ra": 5.1,
"w_avg_rf": 7.8,
"w_avg_ra": 5.06,
"run_rate": 12.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 8.3
},
"confidence": 80,
"winner": {
"team": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"probability": 57,
"margin_runs": 1.06,
"opponent": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"opponent_probability": 43
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.95,
"team_1_proj": 4.44,
"team_2_proj": 5.51,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.13,
"team_2": 1.45,
"total": 3.58,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.28,
0.28,
0.46,
0.37,
0.74,
0.56,
0.65,
1.11,
0
],
"away": [
0.46,
0.15,
0.15,
0.69,
0,
1.03,
0,
0.96,
2.06
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.74,
0.43,
0.61,
1.06,
0.74,
1.59,
0.65,
2.07,
2.06
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.13,
"away": 1.45,
"total": 3.58
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.062,
"i2": 0.062,
"i3": 0.104,
"i4": 0.083,
"i5": 0.167,
"i6": 0.125,
"i7": 0.146,
"i8": 0.25,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.083,
"i2": 0.028,
"i3": 0.028,
"i4": 0.125,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.188,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.174,
"i9": 0.375
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Pittsburgh Pirates +ML",
"team": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"win_prob": 43,
"confidence": 80,
"reason": "Pittsburgh Pirates has a live shot (43%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 43,
"team_2": 57
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.44,
"team_2": 5.51,
"total": 9.95
},
"predicted_winner": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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