Baseball · NBL · United Kingdom
Essex Arrows vs Herts
Sunday, 02 August 2026
Past · result pending. The scheduled start has passed. A live or final status has not been confirmed.Archived fixture
A final score is not available in this archive.
Essex Arrows vs Herts in NBL (Baseball) was scheduled for Sunday, 02 August 2026. A final score is not available in this archive. Pre-match model prediction: Essex Arrows 83% vs Herts 17%. See the head-to-head record and recent form.
United Kingdom • NBL
Essex Arrowsvs
Herts02 Aug • 14:00
Past · result pending. The scheduled start has passed. A live or final status has not been confirmed.
Predicted Winner
Essex Arrows
87%to win
by ~7.51 runs vs Herts
Projected Total
13.72runs
10.61 – 3.1
no market line
First 5 (F5)
live16runs
3 – 13
actual F5 score
Inning Line Score
live| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essex Arrows | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Herts | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 |
Essex Arrows
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 8.6 — Allowed: 4.4 — Run env: 13
Herts
Last 10: 2–8 (20%)
RPG: 2.5 — Allowed: 11.2 — Run env: 13.7
Essex Arrows Form
Essex Arrows
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
Essex Arrows vs Croydon
By inning:0-10-00-00-10-01-00-—
Essex Arrows vs Croydon
By inning:2-40-80-31-3
Herts vs Essex Arrows
By inning:5-01-06-21-06-0
Herts vs Essex Arrows
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-1
Essex Arrows vs London Mets
By inning:3-03-00-03-05-4
Essex Arrows vs London Mets
Essex Arrows vs Herts
Essex Arrows vs Herts
Croydon vs Essex Arrows
Croydon vs Essex Arrows
Herts Form
Herts
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
Herts vs London Mets
By inning:7-02-03-04-1
Herts vs London Mets
By inning:7-03-02-08-0
Herts vs Essex Arrows
By inning:5-01-06-21-06-0
Herts vs Essex Arrows
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-1
Herts vs Croydon
By inning:4-05-00-20-10-09-0
Herts vs Croydon
London Mets vs Herts
London Mets vs Herts
Essex Arrows vs Herts
Essex Arrows vs Herts
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Herts vs Essex Arrows
2-19↗
By inning:5-01-06-21-06-0
Herts vs Essex Arrows
1-0↗
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-1
Essex Arrows vs Herts
9-1↗
By inning:0-00-51-20-20-00-00-—
Essex Arrows vs Herts
5-4↗
By inning:2-21-00-00-21-00-10-—
Herts vs Essex Arrows
6-2↗
By inning:2-40-00-00-00-10-10-—
Herts vs Essex Arrows
3-4↗
Essex Arrows vs Herts
7-11↗
Herts vs Essex Arrows
10-13↗
Herts vs Essex Arrows
3-13↗
Essex Arrows vs Herts
15-0↗
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Essex Arrows 7 / Herts 3. Average total: 12.4.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 10.61,
"team_2": 3.1,
"total": 13.72
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 87,
"team_2": 13
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 8.6,
"avg_ra": 4.4,
"w_avg_rf": 8.83,
"w_avg_ra": 4.18,
"run_rate": 13,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 2,
"losses": 8,
"win_rate": 0.2,
"avg_rf": 2.5,
"avg_ra": 11.2,
"w_avg_rf": 2.43,
"w_avg_ra": 11.6,
"run_rate": 13.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 7,
"t2_wins": 3,
"t1_win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_total": 12.4
},
"confidence": 100,
"winner": {
"team": "Essex Arrows",
"probability": 87,
"margin_runs": 7.51,
"opponent": "Herts",
"opponent_probability": 13
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 13.72,
"team_1_proj": 10.61,
"team_2_proj": 3.1,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3,
"team_2": 13,
"total": 16,
"source": "actual"
},
"inning_scores": {
"home": [
1,
0,
2,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
3,
5,
3
],
"f5_home": 3,
"f5_away": 13
},
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.88,
0.66,
4.43,
0.66,
0,
2.65,
1.33,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0.58,
0.5,
0.86,
0.6,
0.57,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.46,
1.16,
5.29,
1.26,
0.57,
2.65,
1.33,
0,
0
],
"first_five": {
"home": 6.63,
"away": 3.11,
"total": 9.74
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 3,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.083,
"i2": 0.062,
"i3": 0.417,
"i4": 0.062,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.25,
"i7": 0.125,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.187,
"i2": 0.16,
"i3": 0.277,
"i4": 0.193,
"i5": 0.182,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Essex Arrows to win",
"team": "Essex Arrows",
"win_prob": 87,
"confidence": 100,
"reason": "Projected edge ~7.5 runs; form 70% vs 20% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 13.7)",
"projected": 13.72,
"confidence": 100,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 13.3 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "NBL",
"country": "United Kingdom",
"match": "Essex Arrows vs Herts",
"date": "2026-08-02",
"time": "14:00",
"status": null,
"score": "{'home': 13, 'away': 3}",
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Essex Arrows",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "",
"home": "Essex Arrows",
"away": "Croydon",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Essex Arrows",
"away": "Croydon",
"score": "18-3",
"home_points": 18,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 21,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
4,
8,
3,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Herts",
"away": "Essex Arrows",
"score": "2-19",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 19,
"total_points": 21,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
5,
1,
6,
1,
6
],
"away": [
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Herts",
"away": "Essex Arrows",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Essex Arrows",
"away": "London Mets",
"score": "4-14",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 14,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
3,
3,
0,
3,
5
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
4
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Essex Arrows",
"away": "London Mets",
"score": "9-11",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 11,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Essex Arrows",
"away": "Herts",
"score": "9-1",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Essex Arrows",
"away": "Herts",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Croydon",
"away": "Essex Arrows",
"score": "10-1",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Croydon",
"away": "Essex Arrows",
"score": "11-3",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Herts",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "",
"home": "Herts",
"away": "London Mets",
"score": "1-16",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 16,
"total_points": 17,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
7,
2,
3,
4
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Herts",
"away": "London Mets",
"score": "0-20",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 20,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
7,
3,
2,
8
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Herts",
"away": "Essex Arrows",
"score": "2-19",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 19,
"total_points": 21,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
5,
1,
6,
1,
6
],
"away": [
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Herts",
"away": "Essex Arrows",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Herts",
"away": "Croydon",
"score": "3-18",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 18,
"total_points": 21,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
4,
5,
0,
0,
0,
9
],
"away": [
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Herts",
"away": "Croydon",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "London Mets",
"away": "Herts",
"score": "8-0",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "London Mets",
"away": "Herts",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Essex Arrows",
"away": "Herts",
"score": "9-1",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Essex Arrows",
"away": "Herts",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "",
"home": "Herts",
"away": "Essex Arrows",
"score": "2-19",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 19,
"total_points": 21,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
5,
1,
6,
1,
6
],
"away": [
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Herts",
"away": "Essex Arrows",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Essex Arrows",
"away": "Herts",
"score": "9-1",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
5,
2,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Essex Arrows",
"away": "Herts",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Herts",
"away": "Essex Arrows",
"score": "6-2",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
4,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Herts",
"away": "Essex Arrows",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Essex Arrows",
"away": "Herts",
"score": "7-11",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 11,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Herts",
"away": "Essex Arrows",
"score": "10-13",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 13,
"total_points": 23,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Herts",
"away": "Essex Arrows",
"score": "3-13",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 13,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Essex Arrows",
"away": "Herts",
"score": "15-0",
"home_points": 15,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 83,
"team_2": 17
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 9.81,
"team_2": 3.54,
"total": 13.34
},
"predicted_winner": "Essex Arrows",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 10.61,
"team_2": 3.1,
"total": 13.72
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 87,
"team_2": 13
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 8.6,
"avg_ra": 4.4,
"w_avg_rf": 8.83,
"w_avg_ra": 4.18,
"run_rate": 13,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 2,
"losses": 8,
"win_rate": 0.2,
"avg_rf": 2.5,
"avg_ra": 11.2,
"w_avg_rf": 2.43,
"w_avg_ra": 11.6,
"run_rate": 13.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 7,
"t2_wins": 3,
"t1_win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_total": 12.4
},
"confidence": 100,
"winner": {
"team": "Essex Arrows",
"probability": 87,
"margin_runs": 7.51,
"opponent": "Herts",
"opponent_probability": 13
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 13.72,
"team_1_proj": 10.61,
"team_2_proj": 3.1,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3,
"team_2": 13,
"total": 16,
"source": "actual"
},
"inning_scores": {
"home": [
1,
0,
2,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
3,
5,
3
],
"f5_home": 3,
"f5_away": 13
},
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.88,
0.66,
4.43,
0.66,
0,
2.65,
1.33,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0.58,
0.5,
0.86,
0.6,
0.57,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.46,
1.16,
5.29,
1.26,
0.57,
2.65,
1.33,
0,
0
],
"first_five": {
"home": 6.63,
"away": 3.11,
"total": 9.74
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 3,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.083,
"i2": 0.062,
"i3": 0.417,
"i4": 0.062,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.25,
"i7": 0.125,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.187,
"i2": 0.16,
"i3": 0.277,
"i4": 0.193,
"i5": 0.182,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Essex Arrows to win",
"team": "Essex Arrows",
"win_prob": 87,
"confidence": 100,
"reason": "Projected edge ~7.5 runs; form 70% vs 20% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 13.7)",
"projected": 13.72,
"confidence": 100,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 13.3 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"_page_published_at": "2026-08-04T03:27:24.720727+03:00",
"_page_modified_at": "2026-08-04T03:27:24.720727+03:00"
}Prediction alerts
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