Baseball · MLB · Usa
Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics
Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics in MLB (Baseball) on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. Model prediction: Tampa Bay Rays 64% vs Athletics 36%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Tampa Bay Raysvs
Athletics16 Sept • 01:40
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Tampa Bay Rays
64%to win
by ~2.23 runs vs Athletics
Projected Total
9.8runs
6.01 – 3.79
no market line
First 5 (F5)
4.6runs
2.4 – 2.2
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 |
| Athletics | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Tot | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 0.1 |
from last 5+4 games
Tampa Bay Rays
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 5.4 — Allowed: 3.6 — Run env: 9
Athletics
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 4.5 — Allowed: 5.4 — Run env: 9.9
Tampa Bay Rays Form
Tampa Bay Rays
W2d
W2d
W3d
L5d
W5d
W6d
L9d
W9d
W10d
L11d
By inning:0-30-00-40-20-22-00-32-00-—
By inning:1-00-00-00-00-21-00-10-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-01-00-10-00-00-00-2
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-31-—
By inning:0-03-00-03-10-00-11-00-00-0
Athletics Form
Athletics
W2d
L2d
W3d
W6d
L6d
W7d
L9d
W9d
W10d
W11d
By inning:0-20-02-03-01-00-00-41-00-2
By inning:2-03-00-12-02-00-03-04-03-0
By inning:1-21-00-20-00-02-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-10-10-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-02-00-00-10-02-00-10-00-0
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-02-01-24-00-00-00-01-20-0
By inning:2-00-01-03-20-01-02-03-00-2
By inning:1-20-00-00-00-10-01-38-00-0
By inning:4-02-00-10-00-10-00-00-02-0
By inning:0-00-10-00-30-10-00-00-10-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Tampa Bay Rays 6 / Athletics 4. Average total: 10.3.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 6.01,
"team_2": 3.79,
"total": 9.8
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 64,
"team_2": 36
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 5.4,
"avg_ra": 3.6,
"w_avg_rf": 5.62,
"w_avg_ra": 3.37,
"run_rate": 9,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 4.5,
"avg_ra": 5.4,
"w_avg_rf": 4.4,
"w_avg_ra": 5.81,
"run_rate": 9.9,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 10.3
},
"confidence": 75,
"winner": {
"team": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"probability": 64,
"margin_runs": 2.23,
"opponent": "Athletics",
"opponent_probability": 36
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.8,
"team_1_proj": 6.01,
"team_2_proj": 3.79,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.4,
"team_2": 2.2,
"total": 4.6,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.6,
0,
0,
1.8,
0,
1.8,
0,
1.8,
0
],
"away": [
0.34,
0.86,
0.27,
0.5,
0.23,
0.95,
0.15,
0.33,
0.15
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.94,
0.86,
0.27,
2.3,
0.23,
2.75,
0.15,
2.13,
0.15
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.4,
"away": 2.2,
"total": 4.6
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.1,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.3,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.3,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.3,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.089,
"i2": 0.227,
"i3": 0.071,
"i4": 0.133,
"i5": 0.062,
"i6": 0.25,
"i7": 0.039,
"i8": 0.088,
"i9": 0.039
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Tampa Bay Rays to win",
"team": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"win_prob": 64,
"confidence": 75,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.2 runs; form 70% vs 70% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Athletics +ML",
"team": "Athletics",
"win_prob": 36,
"confidence": 75,
"reason": "Athletics has a live shot (36%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics",
"date": "2026-09-16",
"time": "01:40",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "14-4",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
2,
0
],
"away": [
3,
0,
4,
2,
2,
0,
3,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "2-7",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
0,
3,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Texas Rangers",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "8-6",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Texas Rangers",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Texas Rangers",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Texas Rangers",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "6-0",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Athletics",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Seattle Mariners",
"score": "8-7",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
2,
3,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Seattle Mariners",
"score": "1-19",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 19,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
3,
0,
2,
2,
0,
3,
4,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Seattle Mariners",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "2-4",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Seattle Mariners",
"away": "Athletics",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Seattle Mariners",
"away": "Athletics",
"score": "2-6",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Seattle Mariners",
"away": "Athletics",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Seattle Mariners",
"away": "Athletics",
"score": "4-7",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.08.26",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "4-8",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
1,
4,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.08.26",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "4-12",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 12,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
1,
3,
0,
1,
2,
3,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.08.26",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "6-10",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
8,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
3,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.08.25",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "2-8",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
4,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.08.25",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "6-0",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
3,
1,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.08.25",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "4-7",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.07.25",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Athletics",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.07.25",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Athletics",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "01.07.25",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Athletics",
"score": "4-6",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "22.08.24",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 6.01,
"team_2": 3.79,
"total": 9.8
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 64,
"team_2": 36
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 5.4,
"avg_ra": 3.6,
"w_avg_rf": 5.62,
"w_avg_ra": 3.37,
"run_rate": 9,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 4.5,
"avg_ra": 5.4,
"w_avg_rf": 4.4,
"w_avg_ra": 5.81,
"run_rate": 9.9,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 10.3
},
"confidence": 75,
"winner": {
"team": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"probability": 64,
"margin_runs": 2.23,
"opponent": "Athletics",
"opponent_probability": 36
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.8,
"team_1_proj": 6.01,
"team_2_proj": 3.79,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.4,
"team_2": 2.2,
"total": 4.6,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.6,
0,
0,
1.8,
0,
1.8,
0,
1.8,
0
],
"away": [
0.34,
0.86,
0.27,
0.5,
0.23,
0.95,
0.15,
0.33,
0.15
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.94,
0.86,
0.27,
2.3,
0.23,
2.75,
0.15,
2.13,
0.15
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.4,
"away": 2.2,
"total": 4.6
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.1,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.3,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.3,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.3,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.089,
"i2": 0.227,
"i3": 0.071,
"i4": 0.133,
"i5": 0.062,
"i6": 0.25,
"i7": 0.039,
"i8": 0.088,
"i9": 0.039
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Tampa Bay Rays to win",
"team": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"win_prob": 64,
"confidence": 75,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.2 runs; form 70% vs 70% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Athletics +ML",
"team": "Athletics",
"win_prob": 36,
"confidence": 75,
"reason": "Athletics has a live shot (36%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 64,
"team_2": 36
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 6.01,
"team_2": 3.79,
"total": 9.8
},
"predicted_winner": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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