Baseball · MLB · Usa
Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals
Tuesday, 22 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals in MLB (Baseball) on Tuesday, 22 September 2026. Model prediction: Detroit Tigers 62% vs Washington Nationals 38%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Detroit Tigersvs
Washington Nationals22 Sept • 01:40
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Detroit Tigers
62%to win
by ~1.99 runs vs Washington Na…
Projected Total
9.48runs
5.73 – 3.75
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.09runs
3.97 – 1.12
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Washington Nation… | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Tot | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
from last 5+5 games
Detroit Tigers
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 5.6 — Allowed: 3.1 — Run env: 8.7
Washington Nationals
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 3.7 — Allowed: 5.7 — Run env: 9.4
Detroit Tigers Form
Detroit Tigers
W0d
W2d
W3d
W3d
W6d
L6d
W8d
L9d
W9d
L10d
By inning:0-20-00-00-00-00-04-31-01-0
By inning:1-20-30-00-20-10-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-03-21-20-02-00-01-70-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-01-10-40-00-11-—
By inning:0-20-00-32-00-00-00-10-10-—
Washington Nationals Form
Washington Nation…
W2d
W3d
W3d
L6d
L6d
L7d
L8d
L9d
L10d
L13d
By inning:0-00-00-01-01-00-10-12-41-—
By inning:0-10-30-00-00-00-00-03-02-1
By inning:1-00-00-00-10-00-01-00-31-—
By inning:0-00-02-30-20-20-00-10-10-—
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-02-00-11-40-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:3-50-10-00-10-20-02-02-20-—
By inning:0-20-00-11-00-01-02-00-60-—
By inning:6-00-01-03-00-11-10-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-11-00-00-11-50-00-—
By inning:0-10-01-01-03-00-00-00-32-1
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Detroit Tigers 3 / Washington Nationals 7. Average total: 10.8.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.73,
"team_2": 3.75,
"total": 9.48
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 62,
"team_2": 38
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 5.6,
"avg_ra": 3.1,
"w_avg_rf": 5.9,
"w_avg_ra": 3.19,
"run_rate": 8.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 3.7,
"avg_ra": 5.7,
"w_avg_rf": 3.9,
"w_avg_ra": 5.56,
"run_rate": 9.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 7,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_total": 10.8
},
"confidence": 74,
"winner": {
"team": "Detroit Tigers",
"probability": 62,
"margin_runs": 1.99,
"opponent": "Washington Nationals",
"opponent_probability": 38
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.48,
"team_1_proj": 5.73,
"team_2_proj": 3.75,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.97,
"team_2": 1.12,
"total": 5.09,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
1.6,
0,
0.49,
1.31,
0.57,
0.33,
0.69,
0.17,
0.57
],
"away": [
0.25,
0,
0.25,
0.31,
0.31,
0,
0.48,
1.43,
0.7
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.85,
0,
0.74,
1.62,
0.88,
0.33,
1.17,
1.6,
1.27
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.97,
"away": 1.12,
"total": 5.09
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.28,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.086,
"i4": 0.229,
"i5": 0.1,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0.12,
"i8": 0.029,
"i9": 0.1
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.067,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.067,
"i4": 0.084,
"i5": 0.084,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.129,
"i8": 0.382,
"i9": 0.187
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Detroit Tigers to win",
"team": "Detroit Tigers",
"win_prob": 62,
"confidence": 74,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.0 runs; form 70% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 30% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Washington Nationals +ML",
"team": "Washington Nationals",
"win_prob": 38,
"confidence": 74,
"reason": "Washington Nationals has a live shot (38%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals",
"date": "2026-09-22",
"time": "01:40",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Detroit Tigers",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
1,
1
],
"away": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "8-1",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
3,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "11-7",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
3,
1,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
2,
2,
0,
0,
0,
7
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "6-2",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
4,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "7-2",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cleveland Guardians",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cleveland Guardians",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "0-6",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Cleveland Guardians",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Washington Nationals",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Washington Nationals",
"away": "Los Angeles Angels",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
2,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
4
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Washington Nationals",
"away": "Los Angeles Angels",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
2
],
"away": [
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Washington Nationals",
"away": "Los Angeles Angels",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Washington Nationals",
"score": "9-2",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
2,
2,
0,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Washington Nationals",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
4
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Washington Nationals",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"away": "Washington Nationals",
"score": "7-5",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"away": "Washington Nationals",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"away": "Washington Nationals",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Washington Nationals",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "0-9",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "04.07.25",
"home": "Washington Nationals",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "11-7",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
2,
0
],
"away": [
5,
1,
0,
1,
2,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "03.07.25",
"home": "Washington Nationals",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "9-4",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
2,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
6
]
}
},
{
"date": "02.07.25",
"home": "Washington Nationals",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "2-11",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 11,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
6,
0,
1,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.06.24",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Washington Nationals",
"score": "7-2",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
5,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.06.24",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Washington Nationals",
"score": "5-7",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.06.24",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Washington Nationals",
"score": "4-5",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "21.05.23",
"home": "Washington Nationals",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "6-4",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "20.05.23",
"home": "Washington Nationals",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "5-2",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "20.05.23",
"home": "Washington Nationals",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "6-8",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "19.03.23",
"home": "Washington Nationals",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.73,
"team_2": 3.75,
"total": 9.48
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 62,
"team_2": 38
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 5.6,
"avg_ra": 3.1,
"w_avg_rf": 5.9,
"w_avg_ra": 3.19,
"run_rate": 8.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 3.7,
"avg_ra": 5.7,
"w_avg_rf": 3.9,
"w_avg_ra": 5.56,
"run_rate": 9.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 7,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_total": 10.8
},
"confidence": 74,
"winner": {
"team": "Detroit Tigers",
"probability": 62,
"margin_runs": 1.99,
"opponent": "Washington Nationals",
"opponent_probability": 38
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.48,
"team_1_proj": 5.73,
"team_2_proj": 3.75,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.97,
"team_2": 1.12,
"total": 5.09,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
1.6,
0,
0.49,
1.31,
0.57,
0.33,
0.69,
0.17,
0.57
],
"away": [
0.25,
0,
0.25,
0.31,
0.31,
0,
0.48,
1.43,
0.7
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.85,
0,
0.74,
1.62,
0.88,
0.33,
1.17,
1.6,
1.27
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.97,
"away": 1.12,
"total": 5.09
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.28,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.086,
"i4": 0.229,
"i5": 0.1,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0.12,
"i8": 0.029,
"i9": 0.1
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.067,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.067,
"i4": 0.084,
"i5": 0.084,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.129,
"i8": 0.382,
"i9": 0.187
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Detroit Tigers to win",
"team": "Detroit Tigers",
"win_prob": 62,
"confidence": 74,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.0 runs; form 70% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 30% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Washington Nationals +ML",
"team": "Washington Nationals",
"win_prob": 38,
"confidence": 74,
"reason": "Washington Nationals has a live shot (38%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 62,
"team_2": 38
},
"prediction_quality": "medium",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.73,
"team_2": 3.75,
"total": 9.48
},
"predicted_winner": "Detroit Tigers",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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