Baseball · NPB · Japan
Chiba Lotte Marines vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles
Thursday, 17 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Chiba Lotte Marines vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles in NPB (Baseball) on Thursday, 17 September 2026. Model prediction: Chiba Lotte Marines 58% vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles 42%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Japan • NPB
Chiba Lotte Marinesvs
Rakuten Gold. Eagles17 Sept • 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Chiba Lotte Marines
58%to win
by ~1.32 runs vs Rakuten Gold.…
Projected Total
8.33runs
4.83 – 3.5
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.83runs
3.79 – 2.04
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiba Lotte Marin… | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Rakuten Gold. Eag… | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Tot | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
from last 5+4 games
Chiba Lotte Marines
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
RPG: 4.5 — Allowed: 4.6 — Run env: 9.1
Rakuten Gold. Eagles
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 2.7 — Allowed: 4.1 — Run env: 6.8
Chiba Lotte Marines Form
Chiba Lotte Marin…
W0d
L2d
L3d
L4d
W5d
W6d
W7d
W9d
L10d
L11d
By inning:0-00-10-10-04-12-10-10-11-0
By inning:0-00-01-30-23-00-20-00-00-—
By inning:1-20-00-30-00-00-01-00-02-—
By inning:1-10-00-00-70-00-00-20-10-—
By inning:0-00-40-01-00-00-00-20-00-—
Rakuten Gold. Eagles Form
Rakuten Gold. Eag…
W0d
L3d
L5d
L6d
L7d
L9d
L10d
L11d
W13d
W14d
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-10-—
By inning:0-00-20-10-00-02-00-21-00-—
By inning:0-00-40-01-00-00-00-20-00-—
By inning:3-01-10-00-30-00-00-40-20-—
By inning:0-00-00-11-00-10-00-00-01-1
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-00-40-01-00-00-00-20-00-—
By inning:3-01-10-00-30-00-00-40-20-—
By inning:0-00-00-11-00-10-00-00-01-1
By inning:1-01-00-00-00-00-12-20-00-0
By inning:0-00-20-10-00-00-00-10-12-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Chiba Lotte Marines 7 / Rakuten Gold. Eagles 3. Average total: 7.9.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.83,
"team_2": 3.5,
"total": 8.33
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 58,
"team_2": 42
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 4.5,
"avg_ra": 4.6,
"w_avg_rf": 4.61,
"w_avg_ra": 4.85,
"run_rate": 9.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 2.7,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 2.56,
"w_avg_ra": 4.24,
"run_rate": 6.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 7,
"t2_wins": 3,
"t1_win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_total": 7.9
},
"confidence": 81,
"winner": {
"team": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"probability": 58,
"margin_runs": 1.32,
"opponent": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"opponent_probability": 42
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.33,
"team_1_proj": 4.83,
"team_2_proj": 3.5,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.79,
"team_2": 2.04,
"total": 5.83,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.47,
0.16,
1.15,
1.85,
0.16,
0.43,
0.34,
0.25,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1.02,
0.47,
0.26,
0.29,
0,
0.99,
0.18,
0.29
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.47,
1.18,
1.62,
2.11,
0.45,
0.43,
1.33,
0.43,
0.29
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.79,
"away": 2.04,
"total": 5.83
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.098,
"i2": 0.033,
"i3": 0.239,
"i4": 0.384,
"i5": 0.033,
"i6": 0.09,
"i7": 0.07,
"i8": 0.052,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.292,
"i3": 0.133,
"i4": 0.075,
"i5": 0.083,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.283,
"i8": 0.05,
"i9": 0.083
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles +ML",
"team": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"win_prob": 42,
"confidence": 81,
"reason": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles has a live shot (42%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "NPB",
"country": "Japan",
"match": "Chiba Lotte Marines vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"date": "2026-09-17",
"time": "12:00",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
2,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
1,
1,
1,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "7-4",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
2,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2
],
"away": [
2,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "11-1",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
7,
0,
0,
2,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "10-4",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "0-3",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "7-6",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "10-4",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
3,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
3,
0,
0,
4,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Orix Buffaloes",
"score": "4-0",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "01.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Orix Buffaloes",
"score": "5-1",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "10-4",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
3,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
3,
0,
0,
4,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "20.08.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.08.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "5-2",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.08.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "6-2",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "23.07.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "22.07.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "10-2",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "01.07.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "0-5",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "30.06.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.83,
"team_2": 3.5,
"total": 8.33
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 58,
"team_2": 42
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 4.5,
"avg_ra": 4.6,
"w_avg_rf": 4.61,
"w_avg_ra": 4.85,
"run_rate": 9.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 2.7,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 2.56,
"w_avg_ra": 4.24,
"run_rate": 6.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 7,
"t2_wins": 3,
"t1_win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_total": 7.9
},
"confidence": 81,
"winner": {
"team": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"probability": 58,
"margin_runs": 1.32,
"opponent": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"opponent_probability": 42
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.33,
"team_1_proj": 4.83,
"team_2_proj": 3.5,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.79,
"team_2": 2.04,
"total": 5.83,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.47,
0.16,
1.15,
1.85,
0.16,
0.43,
0.34,
0.25,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1.02,
0.47,
0.26,
0.29,
0,
0.99,
0.18,
0.29
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.47,
1.18,
1.62,
2.11,
0.45,
0.43,
1.33,
0.43,
0.29
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.79,
"away": 2.04,
"total": 5.83
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.098,
"i2": 0.033,
"i3": 0.239,
"i4": 0.384,
"i5": 0.033,
"i6": 0.09,
"i7": 0.07,
"i8": 0.052,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.292,
"i3": 0.133,
"i4": 0.075,
"i5": 0.083,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.283,
"i8": 0.05,
"i9": 0.083
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles +ML",
"team": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"win_prob": 42,
"confidence": 81,
"reason": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles has a live shot (42%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 58,
"team_2": 42
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.83,
"team_2": 3.5,
"total": 8.33
},
"predicted_winner": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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