Tennis · Finals Turin · World · hard
Zverev A. vs Jodar R.
Sunday, 15 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Zverev A. a 70% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 1 against No. 11. Bookmakers give Zverev A. about 66% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Zverev A. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Jodar R. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- They last met on 2 Jun 2026, when Zverev A. won 3-0.
World•ATP•Finals Turin•hard
Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 16:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Zverev A.Jodar R.
70%
30%
Zverev A. · all surfaces (latest first)
L9d
L13d
W14d
W15d
W17d
L27d
W29d
W31d
W33d
W35d
2 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Vienna — first match of this tournament
On hard7–3 · 70%· won 1+ set 9/10
L9d
L13d
W14d
W15d
W17d
L27d
W29d
W31d
W33d
W35d
2 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Vienna — first match of this tournament
Jodar R. · all surfaces (latest first)
L10d
W11d
L15d
W17d
L26d
W27d
W28d
W30d
W32d
W34d
On hard7–3 · 70%· won 1+ set 9/10
L10d
W11d
L15d
W17d
L26d
W27d
W28d
W30d
W32d
W34d
Recent form
Zverev A. · all surfacesJodar R. · all surfaces
1010
7/107/10
3/103/10
70%70%
4/103/10
1/101/10
9/109/10
5/106/10
16 / 916 / 10
+7+6
On hard (this match's surface)
Zverev A. · last 10 on hardJodar R. · last 10 on hard
1010
7/107/10
3/103/10
70%70%
4/103/10
1/101/10
9/109/10
5/106/10
16 / 916 / 10
+7+6
Head-to-head
1/10/1
10
1 meeting · 1 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 6.1%
Zverev A.
1.42▲
Implied 66%
Edge +3.6%
Jodar R.
2.80▼
Implied 34%
Edge -3.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Zverev A.
70%
Jodar R.
30%
high confidenceData 100%hard0 H2H used
◀ Zverev A.Why the model leansJodar R. ▶
Ranking
+1.01
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Zverev A. Form
Zverev A.
Jodar R. Form
Jodar R.
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