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Tennis · Shanghai · China · hard

Zhang Z. vs Machac T.

Wednesday, 07 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Zhang Z.1-2Machac T.
Set 1
6-1
Set 2
6-7
Set 3
2-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Machac T. a 62% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 75 against No. 166 and a 2-0 head-to-head lead. Machac T. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Zhang Z. has lost 4 matches in a row.
  • Zhang Z. has won just 1 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Machac T. has won just 2 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • They last met on 28 Jul 2024, when Machac T. won 2-1.
China•ATP•Shanghai•hard
Zhang Z.
Age 29 · Rank #166
VS
Age 25 · Rank #75
Machac T.
Wednesday, 07 October 2026 at 09:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Zhang Z.1-2Machac T.
Set 1
6-1
Set 2
6-7
Set 3
2-6
Model win probability
Zhang Z.Machac T.
38%
62%
Head-to-head
0/22/2
00
2 meetings · 2 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Zhang Z.
38%
Machac T.
62%
medium confidenceData 66%hard1 H2H used
◀ Zhang Z.Why the model leansMachac T. ▶
Ranking
-0.33
Surface
-0.15
Form
+0.10
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Zhang Z. Form
Zhang Z.
30 Sept2026
Zhang Z.ATP #166 vs Gea A.ATP #56
0-2L
24 Sept2026
Zhang Z.ATP #166 vs Wong C.ATP #101
0-2L
29 Jul2026
Wolf J.j.ATP #223 vs Zhang Z.ATP #166
2-1L
22 Jul2026
Broom C.ATP #268 vs Zhang Z.ATP #166
2-1L
21 Jul2026
Zink T.ATP #344 vs Zhang Z.ATP #166
0-2W
14 Jul2026
Boulais J.ATP #416 vs Zhang Z.ATP #166
2-0L
22 Jun2026
Zhang Z.ATP #166 vs Searle H.ATP #228
0-2L
19 Jun2026
Zhang Z.ATP #166 vs Virtanen O.ATP #107
1-2L
18 Jun2026
Zhang Z.ATP #166 vs Safiullin R.ATP #79
2-1W
16 Jun2026
Faria J.ATP #60 vs Zhang Z.ATP #166
0-2W
Machac T. Form
Machac T.
01 Oct2026
Molcan A.ATP #84 vs Machac T.ATP #75
2-0L
29 Sept2026
Machac T.ATP #75 vs Gea A.ATP #56
0-2L
28 Sept2026
Hanfmann Y.ATP #57 vs Machac T.ATP #75
1-2W
30 Aug2026
Samuel T.ATP #100 vs Machac T.ATP #75
3-0L
26 Aug2026
Rottgering M.ATP #327 vs Machac T.ATP #75
2-0L
14 Aug2026
Machac T.ATP #75 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #65
0-2L
27 May2026
Machac T.ATP #75 vs Zverev A.ATP #2
0-3L
24 May2026
Machac T.ATP #75 vs Bergs Z.ATP #39
3-0W
09 May2026
Machac T.ATP #75 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
07 May2026
Tsitsipas S.ATP #43 vs Machac T.ATP #75
0-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
28 Jul2024
Machac T.ATP #75 vs Zhang Z.ATP #166
2-1
21 Aug2022
Zhang Z.ATP #166 vs Machac T.ATP #75
1-2

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