Tennis · Hersonissos 3 · Greece · hard
Xilas I. vs Fomin S.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Xilas I. a 65% chance on hard courts. That rests on 7 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 3. Fomin S. is the higher-ranked player (No. 333 against No. 499), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Bookmakers give Xilas I. about 65% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Fomin S. has lost 3 matches in a row.
- Recent form favours Xilas I.: 7 wins from the last 10 matches, against 3 for Fomin S.
Greece•Challenger•Hersonissos 3•hard
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 11:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Xilas I.Fomin S.
65%
35%
Xilas I. · all surfaces (latest first)
L3d
W4d
W5d
W6d
L12d
W14d
L17d
W18d
W19d
W20d
On hard7–3 · 70%· won 1+ set 9/10
L3d
W4d
W5d
W6d
L12d
W14d
L17d
W18d
W19d
W20d
Fomin S. · all surfaces (latest first)
L14d
L21d
L24d
W25d
W26d
W27d
L36d
L55d
L63d
L70d
3 straight losses · carried over from Ningbo, Guangzhou — first match of this tournament
On hard3–7 · 30%· won 1+ set 5/10
L14d
L21d
L24d
W25d
W26d
W27d
L36d
L55d
L63d
L70d
3 straight losses · carried over from Ningbo, Guangzhou — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Xilas I. · all surfacesFomin S. · all surfaces
1010
7/103/10
3/107/10
70%30%
6/103/10
1/105/10
9/105/10
3/102/10
16 / 78 / 14
+9-6
On hard (this match's surface)
Xilas I. · last 10 on hardFomin S. · last 10 on hard
1010
7/103/10
3/107/10
70%30%
6/103/10
1/105/10
9/105/10
3/102/10
16 / 78 / 14
+9-6
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.2%
Xilas I.
1.40▼
Implied 65%
Edge -0.4%
Fomin S.
2.65▲
Implied 35%
Edge +0.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Xilas I.
65%
Fomin S.
35%
low confidenceData 100%hard0 H2H used
◀ Xilas I.Why the model leansFomin S. ▶
Ranking
-0.17
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.42
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Xilas I. Form
Xilas I.
Fomin S. Form
Fomin S.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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