Tennis · Champaign · USA · hard
Wells C. vs Stephens Z.
Sunday, 15 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Wells C. a 64% chance on hard courts. Bookmakers give Wells C. about 61% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Stephens Z. has lost 10 matches in a row.
- Stephens Z. has won just 0 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Wells C. has lost 3 matches in a row.
USA•Challenger•Champaign•hard
Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 20:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Wells C.Stephens Z.
64%
36%
Wells C. · all surfaces (latest first)
L81d
L399d
L833d
3 straight losses · 1 at Champaign · 2 at other events (Lincoln)
On hard0–3 · 0%· won 1+ set 0/3
L81d
L399d
L833d
3 straight losses · 1 at Champaign · 2 at other events (Lincoln)
Stephens Z. · all surfaces (latest first)
L91d
L96d
L109d
L117d
L123d
L133d
L137d
L145d
L151d
L221d
10 straight losses · carried over from Roehampton, M15 Turku — first match of this tournament
On hard0–10 · 0%· won 1+ set 0/10
L91d
L96d
L109d
L117d
L123d
L137d
L145d
L151d
L235d
L339d
10 straight losses · carried over from Roehampton, M15 Turku — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Wells C. · all surfacesStephens Z. · all surfaces
310
0/30/10
3/310/10
0%0%
0/30/10
3/39/10
0/31/10
0/31/10
0 / 61 / 20
-6-19
Limited sample — Wells C. has 3 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Wells C. · last 3 on hardStephens Z. · last 10 on hard
310
0/30/10
3/310/10
0%0%
0/30/10
3/310/10
0/30/10
0/30/10
0 / 60 / 20
-6-20
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.2%
Wells C.
1.50
Implied 61%
Edge +3.0%
Stephens Z.
2.35
Implied 39%
Edge -3.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Wells C.
64%
Stephens Z.
36%
medium confidenceData 63%hard0 H2H used
◀ Wells C.Why the model leansStephens Z. ▶
Ranking
+0.33
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.60
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Wells C. Form
Wells C.
Stephens Z. Form
Stephens Z.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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