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Tennis · Helsinki · Finland · hard

Vrbensky M. vs Ursu V.

Sunday, 15 November 2026

Match preview

The model gives Vrbensky M. a 62% chance on hard courts. That rests on 5 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 2. Ursu V. is the higher-ranked player (No. 443 against No. 737), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking.

Finland•Challenger•Helsinki•hard

Vrbensky M.

Age 26 · Rank #737

Ursu V.

Age 29 · Rank #443

Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 13:30

Model win probability

Vrbensky M.Ursu V.

62%

38%

Vrbensky M. · all surfaces (latest first)

L12d

W13d

W14d

L32d

W33d

W34d

D35d

L62d

L91d

L110d

On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 7/10

L12d

W13d

W14d

L266d

L272d

W273d

L293d

W294d

L361d

W362d

Ursu V. · all surfaces (latest first)

L7d

L13d

W14d

L20d

W21d

D35d

L42d

L49d

L54d

L55d

2 straight losses · carried over from Orleans, Bratislava 2 — first match of this tournament

On hard2–7 · 22%· won 1+ set 3/9

L7d

L13d

W14d

L20d

W21d

D35d

L42d

L49d

L54d

L55d

2 straight losses · carried over from Orleans, Bratislava 2 — first match of this tournament

Recent form

Vrbensky M. · all surfacesUrsu V. · all surfaces

4/92/9

5/97/9

44%22%

4/91/9

2/96/9

7/93/9

3/92/9

11 / 105 / 15

+1-10

Limited sample — Vrbensky M. has 9 matches on record.

Limited sample — Ursu V. has 9 matches on record.

On hard (this match's surface)

Vrbensky M. · last 10 on hardUrsu V. · last 9 on hard

109

5/102/9

5/107/9

50%22%

4/101/9

3/106/9

7/103/9

3/102/9

12 / 115 / 15

+1-10

First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.

Market Odds

Bookmaker odds not available for this match.

Model Prediction

Vrbensky M.

62%

Ursu V.

38%

low confidenceData 66%hard0 H2H used

◀ Vrbensky M.Why the model leansUrsu V. ▶

Ranking

-0.21

Surface

+0.08

Form

+0.39

H2H

0.00

Model v2.3-2026-06

Vrbensky M. Form

Vrbensky M.

03 Nov2026

Brunold M.ATP #179 vs Vrbensky M.ATP #737

2-1L

02 Nov2026

Houkes M.ATP #218 vs Vrbensky M.ATP #737

0-2W

01 Nov2026

Vrbensky M.ATP #737 vs Gengel M.ATP #409

2-0W

14 Oct2026

Giustino L.ATP #289 vs Vrbensky M.ATP #737

2-0L

13 Oct2026

Vrbensky M.ATP #737 vs Brancaccio R.ATP #222

2-0W

12 Oct2026

Schoen P.ATP #343 vs Vrbensky M.ATP #737

0-2W

11 Oct2026

Vrbensky M.ATP #737 vs Wallin O.ATP #416

0-0D

14 Sept2026

Vrbensky M.ATP #737 vs Wehnelt K.ATP #645

0-2L

16 Aug2026

Vrbensky M.ATP #737 vs Krutykh O.ATP #432

1-2L

28 Jul2026

Vrbensky M.ATP #737 vs Basilashvili N.ATP #86

1-2L

Ursu V. Form

Ursu V.

08 Nov2026

Gadamauri B.ATP #269 vs Ursu V.ATP #443

2-0L

02 Nov2026

Vasa E.ATP #485 vs Ursu V.ATP #443

2-0L

01 Nov2026

Michalik R.ATP #1725 vs Ursu V.ATP #443

0-2W

26 Oct2026

Blanchet U.ATP #334 vs Ursu V.ATP #443

2-0L

25 Oct2026

Freire da Silva A.ATP #1179 vs Ursu V.ATP #443

1-2W

11 Oct2026

Cerny M.ATP #688 vs Ursu V.ATP #443

1-1D

04 Oct2026

Dedura D.ATP #185 vs Ursu V.ATP #443

2-1L

27 Sept2026

Domingues J.ATP #556 vs Ursu V.ATP #443

2-0L

22 Sept2026

Ursu V.ATP #443 vs Gojo B.ATP #134

0-2L

21 Sept2026

Grenier H.ATP #418 vs Ursu V.ATP #443

2-0L

Head-to-Head

Last 10

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