Tennis · Drummondville · Canada · hard
Van Noord N. P. vs Charlton J.
Monday, 16 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Charlton J. a 66% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 873 against No. 1486. Bookmakers give Charlton J. about 76% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Van Noord N. P. has lost 6 matches in a row.
- Van Noord N. P. has won just 3 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Charlton J. has won just 2 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
Canada•Challenger•Drummondville•hard
Monday, 16 November 2026 at 02:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Van Noord N. P.Charlton J.
34%
66%
Van Noord N. P. · all surfaces (latest first)
L4d
L11d
L18d
L61d
L74d
L106d
W107d
W108d
W109d
L117d
6 straight losses · carried over from M25 Montreal, M15 Pembroke 2 — first match of this tournament
On hard3–7 · 30%· won 1+ set 7/10
L4d
L11d
L18d
L106d
W107d
W108d
W109d
L117d
L130d
L257d
4 straight losses · carried over from M25 Montreal, M15 Pembroke 2 — first match of this tournament
Charlton J. · all surfaces (latest first)
L14d
L38d
W39d
L46d
L63d
L70d
L76d
W77d
L79d
D80d
2 straight losses · carried over from Charlottesville, M25 Darwin 2 — first match of this tournament
On hard2–7 · 22%· won 1+ set 4/9
L14d
L38d
W39d
L46d
L63d
L70d
L76d
W77d
L79d
D80d
2 straight losses · carried over from Charlottesville, M25 Darwin 2 — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Van Noord N. P. · all surfacesCharlton J. · all surfaces
109
3/102/9
7/107/9
30%22%
3/102/9
4/105/9
6/104/9
3/102/9
9 / 146 / 14
-5-8
Limited sample — Charlton J. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Van Noord N. P. · last 10 on hardCharlton J. · last 9 on hard
109
3/102/9
7/107/9
30%22%
3/102/9
3/105/9
7/104/9
4/102/9
10 / 146 / 14
-4-8
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.6%
Van Noord N. P.
3.80
Implied 24%
Edge +10.0%
Charlton J.
1.20
Implied 76%
Edge -10.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Van Noord N. P.
34%
Charlton J.
66%
low confidenceData 35%hard0 H2H used
◀ Van Noord N. P.Why the model leansCharlton J. ▶
Ranking
-0.22
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.20
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Van Noord N. P. Form
Van Noord N. P.
Charlton J. Form
Charlton J.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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