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Tennis · Estoril · Portugal · clay

van Assche L. vs Carreno-Busta P.

Thursday, 23 July 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
van Assche L.2-1Carreno-Busta P.
Set 1
6-3
Set 2
4-6
Set 3
6-2

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Carreno-Busta P. a 62% chance on clay. That rests on a ranking of No. 65 against No. 78. van Assche L. won 2-1 in sets, against the model's 62% for Carreno-Busta P.

Key facts before the match

  • van Assche L. has won 8 of the last 10 matches on clay.
  • They last met on 19 Oct 2025, when van Assche L. won 2-1.
Portugal•ATP•Estoril•clay
van Assche L.
van Assche L.
Age 22 · Rank #78
VS
Carreno-Busta P.
Age 35 · Rank #65
Carreno-Busta P.
Thursday, 23 July 2026 at 14:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
van Assche L.2-1Carreno-Busta P.
Set 1
6-3
Set 2
4-6
Set 3
6-2
Model win probability
van Assche L.Carreno-Busta P.
38%
62%
Head-to-head
1/10/1
00
1 meeting · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
van Assche L.
38%
Carreno-Busta P.
62%
high confidenceData 90%clay0 H2H used
◀ van Assche L.Why the model leansCarreno-Busta P. ▶
Ranking
-0.08
Surface
-0.12
Form
-0.12
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
van Assche L. Form
Van Assche L.
20 Jul2026
Ferreira Silva F. vs Van Assche L.
1-2W
15 Jul2026
Van Assche L. vs Droguet T.
1-2L
13 Jul2026
Lajovic D. vs Van Assche L.
1-2W
29 Jun2026
Van Assche L. vs Fucsovics M.
0-1L
20 Jun2026
Ofner S. vs Van Assche L.
1-2W
19 Jun2026
Rincon D. vs Van Assche L.
0-2W
18 Jun2026
Cecchinato M. vs Van Assche L.
1-2W
17 Jun2026
Galan D. E. vs Van Assche L.
0-2W
15 Jun2026
Sanchez Izquierdo N. vs Van Assche L.
1-2W
10 Jun2026
Sanchez Izquierdo N. vs Van Assche L.
2-1L
Carreno-Busta P. Form
Carreno-busta P.
21 Jul2026
Gaubas V. vs Carreno-busta P.
0-2W
15 Jul2026
Carreno-busta P. vs Ugo Carabelli C.
1-2L
14 Jul2026
Dodig M. vs Carreno-busta P.
0-2W
02 Jul2026
Jodar R. vs Carreno-busta P.
3-2L
29 Jun2026
Shapovalov D. vs Carreno-busta P.
0-2W
31 May2026
Jodar R. vs Carreno-busta P.
3-2L
29 May2026
Tirante T. A. vs Carreno-busta P.
1-3W
27 May2026
Kokkinakis T. vs Carreno-busta P.
1-1D
25 May2026
Carreno-busta P. vs Lehecka J.
3-0W
15 May2026
Carreno-busta P. vs Munar J.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
19 Oct2025
Carreno-busta P. vs Van Assche L.
1-2

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