Ugo Carabelli C. vs Simakin I.

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Simakin I. a 74% chance on hard courts. That rests on 10 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 2. Ugo Carabelli C. is the higher-ranked player (No. 77 against No. 154), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Ugo Carabelli C. won 2-1 in sets, against the model's 74% for Simakin I.

Key facts before the match

• Simakin I. has won 10 matches in a row.
• Recent form favours Simakin I.: 10 wins from the last 10 matches, against 2 for Ugo Carabelli C.
• Ugo Carabelli C. has lost 4 matches in a row.