Tennis · Cancun 2 · Mexico · hard
Ugo Carabelli C. vs Mejia N.
Thursday, 20 August 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
Ugo Carabelli C.2-0Mejia N.
- Set 1
- 7-5
- Set 2
- 6-4
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave Mejia N. a 51% chance on hard courts. That rests on 5 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 2. Ugo Carabelli C. is the higher-ranked player (No. 76 against No. 122), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Ugo Carabelli C. won 2-0 in sets, against the model's 51% for Mejia N.
Key facts before the match
- Ugo Carabelli C. has lost 4 matches in a row.
- They last met on 9 Aug 2022, when Ugo Carabelli C. won 2-0.
Mexico•Challenger•Cancun 2•hard
Thursday, 20 August 2026 at 02:25
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Ugo Carabelli C.2-0Mejia N.
- Set 1
- 7-5
- Set 2
- 6-4
Model win probability
Ugo Carabelli C.Mejia N.
49%
51%
Head-to-head
2/31/3
21
3 meetings · 0 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Ugo Carabelli C.
49%
Mejia N.
51%
low confidenceData 100%hard0 H2H used
◀ Ugo Carabelli C.Why the model leansMejia N. ▶
Ranking
+0.20
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.12
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Ugo Carabelli C. Form
Ugo Carabelli C.
Mejia N. Form
Mejia N.
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