Tennis · Shanghai · China · hard
Ugo Carabelli C. vs Auger-Aliassime F.
Saturday, 10 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
Ugo Carabelli C.1-2Auger-Aliassime F.
- Set 1
- 6-4
- Set 2
- 6-7
- Set 3
- 5-7
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave Auger-Aliassime F. a 77% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 6 against No. 77 and 5 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 3. Auger-Aliassime F. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- Recent form favours Auger-Aliassime F.: 6 wins from the last 10 matches, against 2 for Ugo Carabelli C.
- They last met on 25 May 2022, when Auger-Aliassime F. won 3-0.
China•ATP•Shanghai•hard
Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 07:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Ugo Carabelli C.1-2Auger-Aliassime F.
- Set 1
- 6-4
- Set 2
- 6-7
- Set 3
- 5-7
Model win probability
Ugo Carabelli C.Auger-Aliassime F.
23%
77%
Head-to-head
0/11/1
01
1 meeting · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Ugo Carabelli C.
23%
Auger-Aliassime F.
77%
medium confidenceData 66%hard0 H2H used
◀ Ugo Carabelli C.Why the model leansAuger-Aliassime F. ▶
Ranking
-1.07
Surface
+0.30
Form
-0.33
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Ugo Carabelli C. Form
Ugo Carabelli C.
Auger-Aliassime F. Form
Auger-aliassime F.
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