Tennis · Curitiba · Brazil · clay
Tubello A. vs Ortenzi J.
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Tubello A. a 63% chance on clay. That rests on a 4-0 head-to-head lead. Ortenzi J. is the higher-ranked player (No. 173 against No. 207), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Bookmakers give Tubello A. about 68% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Tubello A. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on clay.
- They last met on 17 Aug 2024, when Tubello A. won 2-0.
Brazil•Challenger•Curitiba•clay
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 17:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Tubello A.Ortenzi J.
63%
37%
Tubello A. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W3d
L12d
W13d
D13d
W16d
L19d
W20d
W21d
W23d
2-match win streak · all at Curitiba — built in this tournament
On clay7–2 · 78%· won 1+ set 8/9
W1d
W3d
L12d
W13d
D13d
W16d
L19d
W20d
W21d
W23d
2-match win streak · all at Curitiba — built in this tournament
Ortenzi J. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W3d
L15d
W17d
L20d
W21d
W22d
L42d
W43d
L50d
2-match win streak · all at Curitiba — built in this tournament
On clay6–4 · 60%· won 1+ set 8/10
W1d
W3d
L15d
W17d
L20d
W21d
W22d
L133d
W135d
L143d
2-match win streak · all at Curitiba — built in this tournament
Recent form
Tubello A. · all surfacesOrtenzi J. · all surfaces
910
7/96/10
2/94/10
78%60%
6/96/10
1/91/10
8/99/10
2/93/10
15 / 515 / 8
+10+7
Limited sample — Tubello A. has 9 matches on record.
On clay (this match's surface)
Tubello A. · last 9 on clayOrtenzi J. · last 10 on clay
910
7/96/10
2/94/10
78%60%
6/96/10
1/92/10
8/98/10
2/92/10
15 / 514 / 8
+10+6
Head-to-head
4/40/4
40
4 meetings · 0 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 8.6%
Tubello A.
1.35
Implied 68%
Edge -5.2%
Ortenzi J.
2.90▼
Implied 32%
Edge +5.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Tubello A.
63%
Ortenzi J.
37%
medium confidenceData 79%clay4 H2H used
◀ Tubello A.Why the model leansOrtenzi J. ▶
Ranking
-0.08
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.09
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Tubello A. Form
Tubello A.
Ortenzi J. Form
Ortenzi J.
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