Tennis · Hersonissos 3 · Greece · hard
Tsitsipas Pa. vs Cretu C.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Cretu C. a 81% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 273 against No. 985 and 7 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4. Bookmakers give Cretu C. about 85% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Greece•Challenger•Hersonissos 3•hard
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 15:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Tsitsipas Pa.Cretu C.
19%
81%
Tsitsipas Pa. · all surfaces (latest first)
L6d
L12d
W13d
L19d
W20d
L33d
W34d
L50d
W51d
L58d
2 straight losses · carried over from M25 Heraklion 3, M15 Heraklion 10 — first match of this tournament
On hard4–6 · 40%· won 1+ set 5/10
L6d
L12d
W13d
L19d
W20d
L33d
W34d
L63d
L82d
W83d
2 straight losses · carried over from M25 Heraklion 3, M15 Heraklion 10 — first match of this tournament
Cretu C. · all surfaces (latest first)
L2d
W3d
W4d
W5d
W7d
L11d
W12d
W13d
L16d
W17d
On hard7–3 · 70%· won 1+ set 7/10
L2d
W3d
W4d
W5d
W7d
L11d
W12d
W13d
L16d
W17d
Recent form
Tsitsipas Pa. · all surfacesCretu C. · all surfaces
1010
4/107/10
6/103/10
40%70%
2/105/10
4/103/10
6/107/10
4/102/10
10 / 1414 / 8
-4+6
On hard (this match's surface)
Tsitsipas Pa. · last 10 on hardCretu C. · last 10 on hard
1010
4/107/10
6/103/10
40%70%
3/105/10
5/103/10
5/107/10
2/102/10
9 / 1314 / 8
-4+6
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 8.7%
Tsitsipas Pa.
6.20
Implied 15%
Edge +4.2%
Cretu C.
1.08
Implied 85%
Edge -4.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Tsitsipas Pa.
19%
Cretu C.
81%
high confidenceData 95%hard0 H2H used
◀ Tsitsipas Pa.Why the model leansCretu C. ▶
Ranking
-0.54
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.24
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Tsitsipas Pa. Form
Tsitsipas Pa.
Cretu C. Form
Cretu C.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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