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Tennis · Shanghai · China · hard

Tomic B. vs Arnaldi M.

Thursday, 08 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Tomic B.0-2Arnaldi M.
Set 1
3-6
Set 2
1-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Tomic B. a 53% chance on hard courts. That rests on 6 wins from the last 9 matches on hard courts to 2. Arnaldi M. is the higher-ranked player (No. 38 against No. 185), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Arnaldi M. won 2-0 in sets, against the model's 53% for Tomic B.

China•ATP•Shanghai•hard
Tomic B.
Age 33 · Rank #185
VS
Age 25 · Rank #38
Arnaldi M.
Thursday, 08 October 2026 at 09:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Tomic B.0-2Arnaldi M.
Set 1
3-6
Set 2
1-6
Model win probability
Tomic B.Arnaldi M.
53%
47%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Tomic B.
53%
Arnaldi M.
47%
low confidenceData 60%hard0 H2H used
◀ Tomic B.Why the model leansArnaldi M. ▶
Ranking
-0.66
Surface
+0.15
Form
+0.28
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Tomic B. Form
Tomic B.
06 Oct2026
Tomic B.ATP #185 vs Skatov T.ATP #210
2-0W
05 Oct2026
Atmane T.ATP #99 vs Tomic B.ATP #185
1-1D
02 Oct2026
Tomic B.ATP #185 vs Bellucci M.ATP #86
02 Oct2026
Shimizu Y.ATP #393 vs Tomic B.ATP #185
1-2W
29 Sept2026
Tomic B.ATP #185 vs Sun F.ATP #303
2-1W
23 Sept2026
Tomic B.ATP #185 vs Sun F.ATP #303
0-2L
22 Sept2026
Tomic B.ATP #185 vs te R.ATP #849
2-1W
19 Sept2026
Kotov P.ATP #187 vs Tomic B.ATP #185
2-0L
18 Sept2026
Tomic B.ATP #185 vs Binda A.ATP #474
2-0W
17 Sept2026
Tomic B.ATP #185 vs Delaney Ja.
2-0W
Arnaldi M. Form
Arnaldi M.
03 Oct2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #38
2-0L
30 Sept2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #38 vs Sakamoto R.ATP #137
2-1W
31 Aug2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #38 vs Duckworth J.ATP #64
1-3L
15 Aug2026
Landaluce M.ATP #73 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #38
2-1L
07 Aug2026
Griekspoor T.ATP #58 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #38
2-1L
06 Aug2026
Marozsan F.ATP #63 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #38
1-2W
27 Jul2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #38 vs Musetti L.ATP #25
0-1L
16 Jul2026
Dzumhur D.ATP #103 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #38
2-1L
15 Jul2026
Gomez F. A.ATP #204 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #38
1-2W
30 Jun2026
Arnaldi M.ATP #38 vs Halys Q.ATP #48
1-3L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.

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