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Tennis · Us Open · USA · hard

Tiafoe F. vs Michelsen A.

Tuesday, 08 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Tiafoe F.3-2Michelsen A.
Set 1
5-7
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
7-5
Set 4
6-3
Set 5
7-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Tiafoe F. a 63% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 12 against No. 46, 9 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 7 and a 2-0 head-to-head lead. Tiafoe F. won 3-2 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Tiafoe F. has won 4 matches in a row.
  • Michelsen A. has won 4 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 5 Apr 2025, when Tiafoe F. won 2-0.
USA•ATP•Us Open•hard
Tiafoe F.
Age 28 · Rank #12
VS
Age 22 · Rank #46
Michelsen A.
Tuesday, 08 September 2026 at 21:25
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Tiafoe F.3-2Michelsen A.
Set 1
5-7
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
7-5
Set 4
6-3
Set 5
7-6
Model win probability
Tiafoe F.Michelsen A.
63%
37%
Head-to-head
2/20/2
20
2 meetings · 0 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Tiafoe F.
63%
Michelsen A.
37%
medium confidenceData 91%hard1 H2H used
◀ Tiafoe F.Why the model leansMichelsen A. ▶
Ranking
+0.56
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.12
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Tiafoe F. Form
Tiafoe F.
06 Sept2026
Medvedev D.ATP #8 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
0-3W
05 Sept2026
Vacherot V.ATP #23 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
0-3W
03 Sept2026
Sakamoto R.ATP #157 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
0-3W
01 Sept2026
Damm M.ATP #90 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
2-3W
23 Aug2026
Fils A.ATP #11 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
2-1L
23 Aug2026
Nakashima B.ATP #17 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
0-2W
22 Aug2026
Musetti L.ATP #14 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
0-2W
20 Aug2026
Tiafoe F.ATP #12 vs Auger-aliassime F.ATP #4
2-0W
19 Aug2026
Tien L.ATP #15 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
1-2W
17 Aug2026
Sonego L.ATP #89 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
0-2W
Michelsen A. Form
Michelsen A.
06 Sept2026
Michelsen A.ATP #46 vs Etcheverry T. M.ATP #32
3-0W
05 Sept2026
Michelsen A.ATP #46 vs Merida Aguilar D.ATP #39
3-0W
02 Sept2026
Nakashima B.ATP #17 vs Michelsen A.ATP #46
0-3W
31 Aug2026
Michelsen A.ATP #46 vs Cina F.ATP #181
3-0W
16 Aug2026
Fritz T.ATP #10 vs Michelsen A.ATP #46
2-0L
14 Aug2026
Michelsen A.ATP #46 vs de Jong J.ATP #100
2-0W
07 Aug2026
Merida Aguilar D.ATP #39 vs Michelsen A.ATP #46
2-1L
06 Aug2026
Michelsen A.ATP #46 vs Cerundolo F.ATP #25
2-0W
04 Aug2026
Michelsen A.ATP #46 vs Struff J-l.ATP #44
2-1W
31 Jul2026
Fritz T.ATP #10 vs Michelsen A.ATP #46
2-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
05 Apr2025
Michelsen A.ATP #46 vs Tiafoe F.ATP #12
0-2
09 Feb2024
Tiafoe F.ATP #12 vs Michelsen A.ATP #46
2-0

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