Tagger L. vs Gibson T.

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Gibson T. a 51% chance on hard courts. Tagger L. is the higher-ranked player (No. 48 against No. 65), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Gibson T. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Tagger L. has won 7 matches in a row.
• Recent form favours Tagger L.: 9 wins from the last 10 matches, against 4 for Gibson T.
• Tagger L. has won 9 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
• Gibson T. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.