Tennis · Guangzhou · China · hard
Sun X. vs Liu C.
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Liu C. a 54% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 109 against No. 405. Bookmakers give Liu C. about 60% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Sun X. has won 9 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
China•WTA•Guangzhou•hard
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 11:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Sun X.Liu C.
46%
54%
Sun X. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W3d
L25d
W27d
W29d
W48d
W49d
W50d
W51d
W53d
2-match win streak · all at Guangzhou — built in this tournament
On hard8–1 · 89%· won 1+ set 8/9
W1d
W3d
L25d
W27d
W29d
W48d
W49d
W50d
W51d
W53d
2-match win streak · all at Guangzhou — built in this tournament
Liu C. · all surfaces (latest first)
W3d
L10d
W12d
W13d
L20d
L23d
W25d
L44d
W47d
On hard5–4 · 56%· won 1+ set 5/9
W3d
L10d
W12d
W13d
L20d
L23d
W25d
L44d
W47d
Recent form
Sun X. · all surfacesLiu C. · all surfaces
99
8/95/9
1/94/9
89%56%
4/93/9
1/94/9
8/95/9
4/92/9
16 / 610 / 10
+10+0
Limited sample — Sun X. has 9 matches on record.
Limited sample — Liu C. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Sun X. · last 9 on hardLiu C. · last 9 on hard
99
8/95/9
1/94/9
89%56%
4/93/9
1/94/9
8/95/9
4/92/9
16 / 610 / 10
+10+0
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 6.2%
Sun X.
2.35▼
Implied 40%
Edge +5.9%
Liu C.
1.57▲
Implied 60%
Edge -5.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Sun X.
46%
Liu C.
54%
low confidenceData 72%hard0 H2H used
◀ Sun X.Why the model leansLiu C. ▶
Ranking
-0.30
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.27
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Sun X. Form
Sun X.
Liu C. Form
Liu C.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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