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Tennis · Us Open · USA · hard

Smith C. vs Pellegrino A.

Wednesday, 26 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Smith C.2-1Pellegrino A.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
6-3
Set 3
6-4

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Smith C. a 68% chance on hard courts. That rests on 4 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 2. Pellegrino A. is the higher-ranked player (No. 129 against No. 221), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Smith C. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Smith C. has lost 5 matches in a row.
USA•ATP•Us Open•hard
Smith C.
Age 23 · Rank #221
VS
Age 29 · Rank #129
Pellegrino A.
Wednesday, 26 August 2026 at 00:25
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Smith C.2-1Pellegrino A.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
6-3
Set 3
6-4
Model win probability
Smith C.Pellegrino A.
68%
32%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Smith C.
68%
Pellegrino A.
32%
low confidenceData 70%hard0 H2H used
◀ Smith C.Why the model leansPellegrino A. ▶
Ranking
-0.23
Surface
+0.45
Form
+0.36
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Smith C. Form
Smith C.
13 Aug2026
Smith C.ATP #221 vs Gill F.ATP #213
1-2L
04 Aug2026
Hara Friend J. D.ATP #314 vs Smith C.ATP #221
2-1L
26 Jul2026
Pascual Ferra R.ATP #655 vs Smith C.ATP #221
2-1L
21 Jul2026
Smith C.ATP #221 vs Wolf J.j.ATP #248
0-2L
18 Jul2026
Smith C.ATP #221 vs bu Y.ATP #124
1-2L
16 Jul2026
Smith C.ATP #221 vs Matsuoka H.ATP #250
2-0W
14 Jul2026
Smith C.ATP #221 vs Ilagan A.ATP #184
2-1W
25 Jun2026
Smith C.ATP #221 vs Zheng M.ATP #106
1-3L
24 Jun2026
Gojo B.ATP #162 vs Smith C.ATP #221
0-2W
22 Jun2026
Andrade A.ATP #243 vs Smith C.ATP #221
1-2W
Pellegrino A. Form
Pellegrino A.
21 Aug2026
Bergs Z.ATP #35 vs Pellegrino A.ATP #129
2-0L
18 Aug2026
Pellegrino A.ATP #129 vs Basavareddy N.ATP #163
2-1W
30 Jul2026
Monteiro T.ATP #275 vs Pellegrino A.ATP #129
2-0L
28 Jul2026
Caniato C. A.ATP #474 vs Pellegrino A.ATP #129
0-2W
19 Jul2026
Pellegrino A.ATP #129 vs Bueno G.ATP #172
1-2L
18 Jul2026
Pellegrino A.ATP #129 vs Silva J. D.ATP #1363
2-0W
16 Jul2026
Rublev A.ATP #24 vs Pellegrino A.ATP #129
2-1L
14 Jul2026
Budkov Kjaer N.ATP #149 vs Pellegrino A.ATP #129
0-2W
08 Jul2026
Pellegrino A.ATP #129 vs Brancaccio R.ATP #223
1-2L
07 Jul2026
Pellegrino A.ATP #129 vs Alcala Gurri M.ATP #177
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.

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