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Tennis · Tokyo · Japan · hard

Shapovalov D. vs Tabilo A.

Saturday, 03 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Shapovalov D.2-1Tabilo A.
Set 1
7-5
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
6-4

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Shapovalov D. a 57% chance on hard courts. That rests on 7 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 5. Tabilo A. is the higher-ranked player (No. 31 against No. 46), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Shapovalov D. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Japan•ATP•Tokyo•hard
Shapovalov D.
Age 27 · Rank #46
VS
Age 29 · Rank #31
Tabilo A.
Saturday, 03 October 2026 at 05:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Shapovalov D.2-1Tabilo A.
Set 1
7-5
Set 2
3-6
Set 3
6-4
Model win probability
Shapovalov D.Tabilo A.
57%
43%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Shapovalov D.
57%
Tabilo A.
43%
low confidenceData 70%hard0 H2H used
◀ Shapovalov D.Why the model leansTabilo A. ▶
Ranking
-0.17
Surface
-0.15
Form
+0.42
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Shapovalov D. Form
Shapovalov D.
01 Oct2026
Shapovalov D.ATP #46 vs Shimabukuro S.ATP #108
2-0W
28 Sept2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #41 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #46
2-1L
27 Sept2026
Mannarino A.ATP #81 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #46
1-2W
25 Sept2026
Kopriva V.ATP #68 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #46
0-2W
24 Sept2026
Griekspoor T.ATP #55 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #46
0-2W
05 Sept2026
Shelton B.ATP #4 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #46
3-1L
02 Sept2026
Shapovalov D.ATP #46 vs Van Assche L.ATP #43
3-0W
30 Aug2026
Kecmanovic M.ATP #57 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #46
1-3W
16 Aug2026
Jodar R.ATP #13 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #46
2-1L
13 Aug2026
Shapovalov D.ATP #46 vs Mannarino A.ATP #81
2-0W
Tabilo A. Form
Tabilo A.
30 Sept2026
Tabilo A.ATP #31 vs Paul T.ATP #16
2-0W
25 Sept2026
Tabilo A.ATP #31 vs Mannarino A.ATP #81
0-2L
19 Sept2026
Tabilo A.ATP #31 vs Merida Aguilar D.ATP #42
1-2L
06 Sept2026
Zverev A.ATP #2 vs Tabilo A.ATP #31
3-0L
03 Sept2026
Popyrin A.ATP #129 vs Tabilo A.ATP #31
1-3W
31 Aug2026
Hanfmann Y.ATP #54 vs Tabilo A.ATP #31
1-3W
18 Aug2026
Jodar R.ATP #13 vs Tabilo A.ATP #31
2-0L
15 Aug2026
Struff J-l.ATP #59 vs Tabilo A.ATP #31
0-2W
05 Aug2026
Hurkacz H.ATP #41 vs Tabilo A.ATP #31
2-0L
02 Aug2026
Jodar R.ATP #13 vs Tabilo A.ATP #31
2-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.

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