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Tennis · Chengdu · China · hard

Shang J. vs Mannarino A.

Thursday, 24 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Shang J.0-2Mannarino A.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
2-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Shang J. a 56% chance on hard courts. Mannarino A. is the higher-ranked player (No. 78 against No. 253), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Mannarino A. won 2-0 in sets, against the model's 56% for Shang J.

Key facts before the match

  • Shang J. has won just 3 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Mannarino A. has won just 3 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Shang J. has lost 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 23 Mar 2023, when Mannarino A. won 2-1.
China•ATP•Chengdu•hard
Shang J.
Age 21 · Rank #253
VS
Age 38 · Rank #78
Mannarino A.
Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 12:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Shang J.0-2Mannarino A.
Set 1
6-7
Set 2
2-6
Model win probability
Shang J.Mannarino A.
56%
44%
Head-to-head
0/11/1
00
1 meeting · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Shang J.
56%
Mannarino A.
44%
low confidenceData 36%hard1 H2H used
◀ Shang J.Why the model leansMannarino A. ▶
Ranking
-0.49
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.06
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Shang J. Form
Shang J.
01 Sept2026
Shang J.ATP #253 vs Trungelliti M.ATP #87
2-3L
14 Aug2026
Shang J.ATP #253 vs Sonego L.ATP #86
0-2L
06 Aug2026
Darderi L.ATP #20 vs Shang J.ATP #253
2-1L
04 Aug2026
Shang J.ATP #253 vs Rublev A.ATP #25
2-1W
02 Aug2026
Vallejo D. vs Shang J.ATP #253
0-2W
28 Jul2026
Nishikori K.ATP #436 vs Shang J.ATP #253
2-1L
24 Feb2026
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Shang J.ATP #253
2-0L
16 Feb2026
Medvedev D.ATP #6 vs Shang J.ATP #253
2-0L
22 Jan2026
Van de Zandschulp B.ATP #40 vs Shang J.ATP #253
3-0L
19 Jan2026
Shang J.ATP #253 vs Bautista-agut R.ATP #236
3-1W
Mannarino A. Form
Mannarino A.
17 Sept2026
Mannarino A.ATP #78 vs Bobichon M.ATP #566
0-2L
15 Sept2026
Mannarino A.ATP #78 vs Added D.ATP #374
2-0W
03 Sept2026
Bublik A.ATP #21 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
3-0L
31 Aug2026
Tirante T. A.ATP #52 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
2-3W
26 Aug2026
Mannarino A.ATP #78 vs Sonego L.ATP #86
0-2L
13 Aug2026
Shapovalov D.ATP #50 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
2-0L
04 Aug2026
Fearnley J.ATP #94 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
2-0L
30 Jul2026
Michelsen A.ATP #34 vs Mannarino A.ATP #78
2-0L
28 Jul2026
Mannarino A.ATP #78 vs Tien L.ATP #13
2-0W
09 Jul2026
Mannarino A.ATP #78 vs Galarneau A.ATP #179
1-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
23 Mar2023
Mannarino A.ATP #78 vs Shang J.ATP #253
2-1

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