Schwaerzler J. J. vs Heide G.

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Schwaerzler J. J. a 62% chance on hard courts. That rests on 7 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 5. Heide G. is the higher-ranked player (No. 133 against No. 150), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Schwaerzler J. J. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Heide G. has lost 4 matches in a row.