SMO◦ANCE
Match Intelligence
PicksSign in

Tennis · Porto · Portugal · hard

Samuel T. vs McDonald M.

Tuesday, 29 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Samuel T.2-0McDonald M.
Set 1
7-5
Set 2
6-1

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Samuel T. a 73% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 98 against No. 167 and 7 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 3. Samuel T. won 2-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Recent form favours Samuel T.: 7 wins from the last 10 matches, against 3 for McDonald M.
Portugal•Challenger•Porto•hard
Samuel T.
Age 24 · Rank #98
VS
Age 31 · Rank #167
McDonald M.
Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 15:20
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Samuel T.2-0McDonald M.
Set 1
7-5
Set 2
6-1
Model win probability
Samuel T.McDonald M.
73%
27%
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Model Prediction
Samuel T.
73%
McDonald M.
27%
medium confidenceData 66%hard0 H2H used
◀ Samuel T.Why the model leansMcDonald M. ▶
Ranking
+0.22
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.38
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Samuel T. Form
Samuel T.
19 Sept2026
Samuel T.ATP #98 vs Andrade A.ATP #206
2-1W
03 Sept2026
Lehecka J.ATP #23 vs Samuel T.ATP #98
3-0L
30 Aug2026
Samuel T.ATP #98 vs Machac T.ATP #75
3-0W
27 Aug2026
Samuel T.ATP #98 vs Garin C.ATP #131
1-1D
26 Aug2026
Samuel T.ATP #98 vs Harris B.ATP #237
2-1W
24 Aug2026
Samuel T.ATP #98 vs Maestrelli F.ATP #168
2-1W
30 Jul2026
Hara Friend J. D.ATP #255 vs Samuel T.ATP #98
2-0L
29 Jul2026
Pinnington Jones J.ATP #197 vs Samuel T.ATP #98
0-2W
26 Jul2026
Draxl L.ATP #215 vs Samuel T.ATP #98
0-2W
25 Jul2026
Broom C.ATP #261 vs Samuel T.ATP #98
0-2W
McDonald M. Form
Mcdonald M.
28 Aug2026
Svrcina D.ATP #124 vs Mcdonald M.ATP #167
2-1L
26 Aug2026
Seyboth Wild T.ATP #136 vs Mcdonald M.ATP #167
0-2W
25 Aug2026
Napolitano S.ATP #279 vs Mcdonald M.ATP #167
0-2W
20 Aug2026
Fearnley J.ATP #94 vs Mcdonald M.ATP #167
2-0L
12 Aug2026
Mcdonald M.ATP #167 vs wu Y.ATP #111
1-2L
28 Jul2026
Michelsen A.ATP #34 vs Mcdonald M.ATP #167
2-0L
26 Jul2026
Mcdonald M.ATP #167 vs Svajda T.ATP #480
0-2L
25 Jul2026
Mcdonald M.ATP #167 vs Butvilas E.ATP #203
2-1W
08 Jul2026
Mcdonald M.ATP #167 vs Walton A.ATP #97
0-2L
30 Jun2026
Kypson P.ATP #115 vs Mcdonald M.ATP #167
3-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Explore more matches and live updates on the Tennis board.