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Tennis · Washington · USA · hard

Samsonova L. vs Keys M.

Tuesday, 28 July 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Samsonova L.2-1Keys M.
Set 1
3-6
Set 2
6-4
Set 3
6-4

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Keys M. a 74% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 22 against No. 70, 6 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 2 and a 4-1 head-to-head lead. Samsonova L. won 2-1 in sets, against the model's 74% for Keys M.

Key facts before the match

  • Recent form favours Keys M.: 8 wins from the last 10 matches, against 3 for Samsonova L.
  • They last met on 10 Jan 2025, when it finished 1-1.
USA•WTA•Washington•hard
Samsonova L.
Age 27 · Rank #70
VS
Age 31 · Rank #22
Keys M.
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 at 01:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Samsonova L.2-1Keys M.
Set 1
3-6
Set 2
6-4
Set 3
6-4
Model win probability
Samsonova L.Keys M.
26%
74%
Head-to-head
1/64/6
02
6 meetings · 3 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Samsonova L.
26%
Keys M.
74%
high confidenceData 98%hard2 H2H used
◀ Samsonova L.Why the model leansKeys M. ▶
Ranking
-0.49
Surface
+0.12
Form
-0.30
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Samsonova L. Form
Samsonova L.
04 Jul2026
Samsonova L.WTA #70 vs Bouzkova M.WTA #24
1-2L
02 Jul2026
Shnaider D.WTA #18 vs Samsonova L.WTA #70
1-2W
30 Jun2026
Kudermetova P.WTA #108 vs Samsonova L.WTA #70
0-2W
23 Jun2026
Samsonova L.WTA #70 vs Svitolina E.WTA #10
1-2L
21 Jun2026
Samsonova L.WTA #70 vs Siniakova K.WTA #36
2-0W
15 Jun2026
Mertens E.WTA #23 vs Samsonova L.WTA #70
2-1L
08 Jun2026
Dart H.WTA #143 vs Samsonova L.WTA #70
2-1L
25 May2026
Samsonova L.WTA #70 vs Teichmann J.WTA #163
0-2L
18 May2026
Kasatkina D.WTA #61 vs Samsonova L.WTA #70
2-0L
10 May2026
Samsonova L.WTA #70 vs Potapova A.WTA #27
0-2L
Keys M. Form
Keys M.
06 Jul2026
Keys M.WTA #22 vs Noskova L.WTA #7
0-2L
04 Jul2026
Anisimova A.WTA #9 vs Keys M.WTA #22
1-2W
02 Jul2026
Swan K.WTA #202 vs Keys M.WTA #22
0-2W
30 Jun2026
Day K.WTA #127 vs Keys M.WTA #22
1-2W
27 Jun2026
Maria T.WTA #79 vs Keys M.WTA #22
0-2W
26 Jun2026
Marcinko P.WTA #53 vs Keys M.WTA #22
0-1W
25 Jun2026
Kessler M.WTA #47 vs Keys M.WTA #22
0-2W
24 Jun2026
Bouzas Maneiro J.WTA #59 vs Keys M.WTA #22
0-2W
23 Jun2026
Gibson T.WTA #72 vs Keys M.WTA #22
0-2W
19 Jun2026
Pegula J.WTA #3 vs Keys M.WTA #22
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
10 Jan2025
Keys M.WTA #22 vs Samsonova L.WTA #70
1-1
24 May2024
Keys M.WTA #22 vs Samsonova L.WTA #70
2-0
27 Apr2024
Keys M.WTA #22 vs Samsonova L.WTA #70
2-0
02 Sept2023
Samsonova L.WTA #70 vs Keys M.WTA #22
1-2
13 Jan2022
Samsonova L.WTA #70 vs Keys M.WTA #22
1-2
18 Jun2021
Keys M.WTA #22 vs Samsonova L.WTA #70
1-2

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