Tennis · Matsuyama · Japan · hard
Sakamoto R. vs Tokuda R.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Sakamoto R. a 76% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 122 against No. 992. Bookmakers give Sakamoto R. about 77% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Sakamoto R. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Tokuda R. has won 3 matches in a row.
Japan•Challenger•Matsuyama•hard
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 05:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Sakamoto R.Tokuda R.
76%
24%
Sakamoto R. · all surfaces (latest first)
D10d
W12d
W14d
L20d
W22d
W23d
L29d
W31d
W33d
W34d
On hard7–2 · 78%· won 1+ set 7/9
D10d
W12d
W14d
L20d
W22d
W23d
L29d
W31d
W33d
W34d
Tokuda R. · all surfaces (latest first)
W0d
W1d
W105d
L112d
W112d
L120d
L143d
W144d
W146d
3-match win streak · 2 at Matsuyama · 1 at other events (Vancouver)
On hard6–2 · 75%· won 1+ set 6/8
W0d
W1d
W105d
L112d
W112d
L120d
L143d
W144d
W146d
3-match win streak · 2 at Matsuyama · 1 at other events (Vancouver)
Recent form
Sakamoto R. · all surfacesTokuda R. · all surfaces
98
7/96/8
2/92/8
78%75%
5/92/8
2/92/8
7/96/8
2/94/8
14 / 612 / 8
+8+4
Limited sample — Sakamoto R. has 9 matches on record.
Limited sample — Tokuda R. has 8 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Sakamoto R. · last 9 on hardTokuda R. · last 8 on hard
98
7/96/8
2/92/8
78%75%
5/92/8
2/92/8
7/96/8
2/94/8
14 / 612 / 8
+8+4
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.0%
Sakamoto R.
1.19▼
Implied 77%
Edge -1.1%
Tokuda R.
4.00▲
Implied 23%
Edge +1.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Sakamoto R.
76%
Tokuda R.
24%
high confidenceData 85%hard0 H2H used
◀ Sakamoto R.Why the model leansTokuda R. ▶
Ranking
+0.88
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.20
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Sakamoto R. Form
Sakamoto R.
Tokuda R. Form
Tokuda R.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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