SMO◦ANCE
Match Intelligence
PicksSign in

Tennis · Cancun 2 · Mexico · hard

Safiullin R. vs Wawrinka S.

Friday, 21 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Safiullin R.2-0Wawrinka S.
Set 1
6-3
Set 2
6-4

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Wawrinka S. a 52% chance on hard courts. That rests on 6 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 4. Safiullin R. is the higher-ranked player (No. 103 against No. 125), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Safiullin R. won 2-0 in sets, against the model's 52% for Wawrinka S.

Key facts before the match

  • Recent form favours Safiullin R.: 7 wins from the last 9 matches, against 3 for Wawrinka S.
  • They last met on 27 Sept 2024, when Safiullin R. won 2-0.
Mexico•Challenger•Cancun 2•hard
Safiullin R.
Age 29 · Rank #103
VS
Age 41 · Rank #125
Wawrinka S.
Friday, 21 August 2026 at 02:50
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Safiullin R.2-0Wawrinka S.
Set 1
6-3
Set 2
6-4
Model win probability
Safiullin R.Wawrinka S.
48%
52%
Head-to-head
1/21/2
10
2 meetings · 1 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Safiullin R.
48%
Wawrinka S.
52%
low confidenceData 25%hard1 H2H used
◀ Safiullin R.Why the model leansWawrinka S. ▶
Ranking
+0.08
Surface
-1.00
Form
-0.18
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Safiullin R. Form
Safiullin R.
19 Aug2026
Safiullin R.ATP #103 vs Ofner S.ATP #127
2-0W
05 Jul2026
Safiullin R.ATP #103 vs Djokovic N.ATP #5
1-3L
03 Jul2026
Safiullin R.ATP #103 vs Fonseca J.ATP #26
3-0W
01 Jul2026
Safiullin R.ATP #103 vs Van de Zandschulp B.ATP #59
3-2W
29 Jun2026
Rublev A.ATP #18 vs Safiullin R.ATP #103
2-3W
25 Jun2026
Safiullin R.ATP #103 vs Kym J.ATP #179
3-2W
24 Jun2026
Safiullin R.ATP #103 vs Coppejans K.ATP #218
2-0W
22 Jun2026
Safiullin R.ATP #103 vs Mccabe J.ATP #243
2-0W
18 Jun2026
Zhang Z.ATP #158 vs Safiullin R.ATP #103
2-1L
16 Jun2026
Safiullin R.ATP #103 vs Holmgren A.ATP #226
2-0W
Wawrinka S. Form
Wawrinka S.
19 Aug2026
Svrcina D.ATP #114 vs Wawrinka S.ATP #125
0-2W
21 Jul2026
Wawrinka S.ATP #125 vs Burruchaga R. A.ATP #61
1-2L
14 Jul2026
Faria J.ATP #79 vs Wawrinka S.ATP #125
2-1L
30 Jun2026
Wawrinka S.ATP #125 vs Berrettini M.ATP #42
1-3L
25 May2026
Wawrinka S.ATP #125 vs de Jong J.ATP #106
1-3L
20 May2026
Wawrinka S.ATP #125 vs Michelsen A.ATP #41
0-2L
18 May2026
Brancaccio R.ATP #232 vs Wawrinka S.ATP #125
1-2W
05 May2026
Carreno-busta P.ATP #72 vs Wawrinka S.ATP #125
04 May2026
Travaglia S.ATP #140 vs Wawrinka S.ATP #125
1-2W
28 Apr2026
Wawrinka S.ATP #125 vs Ofner S.ATP #127
0-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
27 Sept2024
Safiullin R.ATP #103 vs Wawrinka S.ATP #125
2-0
17 Aug2020
Wawrinka S.ATP #125 vs Safiullin R.ATP #103
2-1

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Explore more matches and live updates on the Tennis board.