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Tennis · Finals Indian Wells · World · hard

Sabalenka A. vs Svitolina E.

Wednesday, 11 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model gives Sabalenka A. a 61% chance on hard courts. That rests on a 6-1 head-to-head lead.

Key facts

  • Sabalenka A. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Svitolina E. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • They last met on 29 Jan 2026, when Sabalenka A. won 2-0.
World•WTA•Finals Indian Wells•hard
Sabalenka A.
Age 28 · Rank #2
VS
Age 32 · Rank #6
Svitolina E.
Wednesday, 11 November 2026 at 21:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Sabalenka A.Svitolina E.
61%
39%
Sabalenka A. · all surfaces (latest first)
L27d
L37d
W39d
L59d
W60d
W63d
W65d
W67d
W68d
W71d
2 straight losses · carried over from Wuhan, Beijing — first match of this tournament
On hard7–3 · 70%· won 1+ set 9/10
L27d
L37d
W39d
L59d
W60d
W63d
W65d
W67d
W68d
W71d
2 straight losses · carried over from Wuhan, Beijing — first match of this tournament
Svitolina E. · all surfaces (latest first)
L25d
W26d
W27d
L32d
W34d
W36d
W38d
L44d
W45d
L47d
On hard7–3 · 70%· won 1+ set 9/10
L25d
W26d
W27d
L32d
W34d
W36d
W38d
L66d
W68d
W71d
Recent form
Sabalenka A. · all surfacesSvitolina E. · all surfaces
1010
7/106/10
3/104/10
70%60%
6/104/10
1/102/10
9/108/10
3/104/10
16 / 714 / 10
+9+4
On hard (this match's surface)
Sabalenka A. · last 10 on hardSvitolina E. · last 10 on hard
1010
7/107/10
3/103/10
70%70%
6/104/10
1/101/10
9/109/10
3/105/10
16 / 716 / 9
+9+7
Head-to-head
6/71/7
40
7 meetings · 3 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Model Prediction
Sabalenka A.
61%
Svitolina E.
39%
medium confidenceData 70%hard3 H2H used
◀ Sabalenka A.Why the model leansSvitolina E. ▶
Ranking
+0.46
Surface
-0.15
Form
+0.12
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Sabalenka A. Form
Sabalenka A.
14 Oct2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs li A.WTA #31
1-2L
04 Oct2026
Bartunkova N.WTA #29 vs Sabalenka A.WTA #2
2-0L
02 Oct2026
Zarazua R.WTA #97 vs Sabalenka A.WTA #2
0-2W
12 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Rybakina E.WTA #1
1-2L
11 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Pegula J.WTA #5
2-0W
08 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Noskova L.WTA #8
2-1W
06 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Townsend T.WTA #88
2-0W
04 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Rakhimova K.WTA #44
2-0W
03 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Iatcenko P.WTA #169
2-0W
31 Aug2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Osorio C.WTA #69
2-0W
Svitolina E. Form
Svitolina E.
16 Oct2026
Svitolina E.WTA #6 vs Kartal S.WTA #52
1-2L
15 Oct2026
Svitolina E.WTA #6 vs Guo H.WTA #213
2-0W
14 Oct2026
Svitolina E.WTA #6 vs Samsonova L.WTA #40
2-1W
09 Oct2026
Zheng Q.WTA #21 vs Svitolina E.WTA #6
2-0L
07 Oct2026
li A.WTA #31 vs Svitolina E.WTA #6
0-2W
05 Oct2026
Sakkari M.WTA #30 vs Svitolina E.WTA #6
0-2W
03 Oct2026
Siniakova K.WTA #47 vs Svitolina E.WTA #6
1-2W
27 Sept2026
Svitolina E.WTA #6 vs Noskova L.WTA #8
0-2L
26 Sept2026
Paolini J.WTA #35 vs Svitolina E.WTA #6
0-2W
24 Sept2026
Svitolina E.WTA #6 vs Minnen G.WTA #240
1-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
29 Jan2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Svitolina E.WTA #6
2-0
01 May2025
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Svitolina E.WTA #6
2-0
16 Aug2024
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Svitolina E.WTA #6
2-0
13 May2024
Svitolina E.WTA #6 vs Sabalenka A.WTA #2
1-2
06 Jun2023
Svitolina E.WTA #6 vs Sabalenka A.WTA #2
0-2
25 Sept2020
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Svitolina E.WTA #6
1-2
25 Sept2018
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Svitolina E.WTA #6
2-1

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