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Tennis · Us Open · USA · hard

Sabalenka A. vs Rybakina E.

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Sabalenka A.1-2Rybakina E.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
7-5
Set 3
2-6

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Sabalenka A. a 54% chance on hard courts. That rests on a 6-4 head-to-head lead. Rybakina E. won 2-1 in sets, against the model's 54% for Sabalenka A.

Key facts before the match

  • Sabalenka A. has won 6 matches in a row.
  • Rybakina E. has won 6 matches in a row.
  • Sabalenka A. has won 8 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Rybakina E. has won 9 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • They last met on 27 Mar 2026, when Sabalenka A. won 2-0.
USA•WTA•Us Open•hard
Sabalenka A.
Age 28 · Rank #1
VS
Age 27 · Rank #2
Rybakina E.
Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 23:15
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Sabalenka A.1-2Rybakina E.
Set 1
4-6
Set 2
7-5
Set 3
2-6
Model win probability
Sabalenka A.Rybakina E.
54%
46%
Head-to-head
12/208/20
45
20 meetings · 11 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Sabalenka A.
54%
Rybakina E.
46%
low confidenceData 95%hard15 H2H used
◀ Sabalenka A.Why the model leansRybakina E. ▶
Ranking
+0.29
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.11
H2H
-0.03
Model v2.3-2026-06
Sabalenka A. Form
Sabalenka A.
11 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Pegula J.WTA #3
2-0W
08 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Noskova L.WTA #6
2-1W
06 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Townsend T.WTA #96
2-0W
04 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Rakhimova K.WTA #92
2-0W
03 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Iatcenko P.WTA #160
2-0W
31 Aug2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Osorio C.WTA #59
2-0W
20 Aug2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Bejlek S.WTA #30
0-2L
19 Aug2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Wang Xin.
2-0W
16 Aug2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Gibson T.WTA #63
2-0W
09 Aug2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Alexandrova E.WTA #19
1-2L
Rybakina E. Form
Rybakina E.
11 Sept2026
Gauff C.WTA #4 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
1-2W
09 Sept2026
Zheng Q.WTA #121 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
1-2W
07 Sept2026
Osaka N.WTA #13 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
0-2W
06 Sept2026
Starodubtseva Y.WTA #58 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
0-2W
04 Sept2026
Bouzas Maneiro J.WTA #105 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
0-2W
01 Sept2026
Frodin T.WTA #585 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
0-2W
21 Aug2026
Swiatek I.WTA #8 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
0-0D
19 Aug2026
Shnaider D.WTA #16 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
0-2W
17 Aug2026
Frech M.WTA #41 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
0-2W
16 Aug2026
Townsend T.WTA #96 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
0-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
27 Mar2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
2-0
15 Mar2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
2-1
31 Jan2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
1-2
08 Nov2025
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
0-2
10 Oct2025
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
2-0
15 Aug2025
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
0-2
20 Jun2025
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
2-1
19 Dec2024
Rybakina E.WTA #2 vs Sabalenka A.WTA #1
0-1
06 Nov2024
Sabalenka A.WTA #1 vs Rybakina E.WTA #2
1-2
02 May2024
Rybakina E.WTA #2 vs Sabalenka A.WTA #1
1-2

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