Sabalenka A. vs Pegula J.

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Sabalenka A. a 63% chance on hard courts. That rests on a 7-3 head-to-head lead. Sabalenka A. won 2-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Sabalenka A. has won 5 matches in a row.
• Pegula J. has won 5 matches in a row.
• Sabalenka A. has won 8 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
• Pegula J. has won 9 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
• They last met on 20 Jun 2026, when Pegula J. won 2-1.