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Tennis · Finals Indian Wells · World · hard

Sabalenka A. vs Andreeva M.

Tuesday, 10 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model gives Sabalenka A. a 57% chance on hard courts. That rests on a 5-2 head-to-head lead.

Key facts

  • Sabalenka A. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • Andreeva M. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
  • They last met on 16 Mar 2025, when Andreeva M. won 2-1.
World•WTA•Finals Indian Wells•hard
Sabalenka A.
Age 28 · Rank #2
VS
Age 19 · Rank #3
Andreeva M.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 21:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Sabalenka A.Andreeva M.
57%
43%
Sabalenka A. · all surfaces (latest first)
L23d
L33d
W35d
L55d
W56d
W59d
W61d
W63d
W64d
W67d
2 straight losses · carried over from Wuhan, Beijing — first match of this tournament
On hard7–3 · 70%· won 1+ set 9/10
L23d
L33d
W35d
L55d
W56d
W59d
W61d
W63d
W64d
W67d
2 straight losses · carried over from Wuhan, Beijing — first match of this tournament
Andreeva M. · all surfaces (latest first)
L26d
W27d
W29d
W31d
W33d
W35d
L42d
W44d
L58d
W60d
On hard7–3 · 70%· won 1+ set 8/10
L26d
W27d
W29d
W31d
W33d
W35d
L42d
W44d
L58d
W60d
Recent form
Sabalenka A. · all surfacesAndreeva M. · all surfaces
1010
7/107/10
3/103/10
70%70%
6/105/10
1/102/10
9/108/10
3/103/10
16 / 715 / 8
+9+7
On hard (this match's surface)
Sabalenka A. · last 10 on hardAndreeva M. · last 10 on hard
1010
7/107/10
3/103/10
70%70%
6/105/10
1/102/10
9/108/10
3/103/10
16 / 715 / 8
+9+7
Head-to-head
5/72/7
50
7 meetings · 2 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Model Prediction
Sabalenka A.
57%
Andreeva M.
43%
medium confidenceData 70%hard3 H2H used
◀ Sabalenka A.Why the model leansAndreeva M. ▶
Ranking
+0.17
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.12
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Sabalenka A. Form
Sabalenka A.
14 Oct2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs li A.WTA #31
1-2L
04 Oct2026
Bartunkova N.WTA #29 vs Sabalenka A.WTA #2
2-0L
02 Oct2026
Zarazua R.WTA #97 vs Sabalenka A.WTA #2
0-2W
12 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Rybakina E.WTA #1
1-2L
11 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Pegula J.WTA #5
2-0W
08 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Noskova L.WTA #8
2-1W
06 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Townsend T.WTA #88
2-0W
04 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Rakhimova K.WTA #44
2-0W
03 Sept2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Iatcenko P.WTA #169
2-0W
31 Aug2026
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Osorio C.WTA #69
2-0W
Andreeva M. Form
Andreeva M.
11 Oct2026
Zheng Q.WTA #21 vs Andreeva M.WTA #3
2-0L
10 Oct2026
Andreeva M.WTA #3 vs Bartunkova N.WTA #29
2-0W
08 Oct2026
Alexandrova E.WTA #32 vs Andreeva M.WTA #3
0-2W
06 Oct2026
Snigur D.WTA #42 vs Andreeva M.WTA #3
0-2W
04 Oct2026
Kudermetova P.WTA #93 vs Andreeva M.WTA #3
0-2W
02 Oct2026
Yuan Y.WTA #168 vs Andreeva M.WTA #3
1-2W
25 Sept2026
Andreeva M.WTA #3 vs Fernandez L.WTA #18
0-2L
23 Sept2026
Andreeva M.WTA #3 vs Sasnovich A.WTA #101
2-0W
09 Sept2026
Andreeva M.WTA #3 vs Gauff C.WTA #4
1-2L
07 Sept2026
Andreeva M.WTA #3 vs Potapova A.WTA #27
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
16 Mar2025
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Andreeva M.WTA #3
1-2
19 Jan2025
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Andreeva M.WTA #3
2-0
04 Jan2025
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Andreeva M.WTA #3
2-0
05 Jun2024
Andreeva M.WTA #3 vs Sabalenka A.WTA #2
2-1
01 May2024
Andreeva M.WTA #3 vs Sabalenka A.WTA #2
0-2
21 Dec2023
Sabalenka A.WTA #2 vs Andreeva M.WTA #3
1-0
01 May2023
Andreeva M.WTA #3 vs Sabalenka A.WTA #2
0-2

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