Tennis · Finals Indian Wells · World · hard
Rybakina E. vs Pegula J.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Rybakina E. a 74% chance on hard courts. That rests on a 6-3 head-to-head lead.
Key facts
- Rybakina E. has won 4 matches in a row.
- Rybakina E. has won 7 of the last 9 matches on hard courts.
- Pegula J. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- They last met on 25 Mar 2026, when Rybakina E. won 2-1.
World•WTA•Finals Indian Wells•hard
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 21:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Rybakina E.Pegula J.
74%
26%
Rybakina E. · all surfaces (latest first)
W8d
W12d
W13d
W14d
D15d
L34d
W55d
W56d
W58d
4-match win streak · carried over from Tokyo, Ningbo — first match of this tournament
On hard7–1 · 88%· won 1+ set 8/8
W8d
W12d
W13d
W14d
D15d
L34d
W55d
W56d
W58d
4-match win streak · carried over from Tokyo, Ningbo — first match of this tournament
Pegula J. · all surfaces (latest first)
L23d
L56d
W58d
W60d
W63d
W65d
W68d
L74d
W76d
W78d
2 straight losses · carried over from Wuhan, US Open — first match of this tournament
On hard7–3 · 70%· won 1+ set 8/10
L23d
L56d
W58d
W60d
W63d
W65d
W68d
L74d
W76d
W78d
2 straight losses · carried over from Wuhan, US Open — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Rybakina E. · all surfacesPegula J. · all surfaces
810
7/87/10
1/83/10
88%70%
3/83/10
0/82/10
8/88/10
5/85/10
15 / 615 / 10
+9+5
Limited sample — Rybakina E. has 8 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Rybakina E. · last 8 on hardPegula J. · last 10 on hard
810
7/87/10
1/83/10
88%70%
3/83/10
0/82/10
8/88/10
5/85/10
15 / 615 / 10
+9+5
Head-to-head
6/93/9
42
9 meetings · 3 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Model Prediction
Rybakina E.
74%
Pegula J.
26%
medium confidenceData 63%hard8 H2H used
◀ Rybakina E.Why the model leansPegula J. ▶
Ranking
+0.68
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.17
H2H
+0.08
Model v2.3-2026-06
Rybakina E. Form
Rybakina E.
Pegula J. Form
Pegula J.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
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