Tennis · Finals Indian Wells · World · hard
Rybakina E. vs Noskova L.
Sunday, 08 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Rybakina E. a 69% chance on hard courts. That rests on a 3-0 head-to-head lead. Bookmakers give Rybakina E. about 65% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Rybakina E. has won 4 matches in a row.
- Rybakina E. has won 7 of the last 9 matches on hard courts.
- Noskova L. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- They last met on 9 Oct 2025, when Rybakina E. won 2-0.
World•WTA•Finals Indian Wells•hard
Sunday, 08 November 2026 at 23:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Rybakina E.Noskova L.
69%
31%
Rybakina E. · all surfaces (latest first)
W8d
W12d
W13d
W14d
D15d
L34d
W55d
W56d
W58d
4-match win streak · carried over from Tokyo, Ningbo — first match of this tournament
On hard7–1 · 88%· won 1+ set 8/8
W8d
W12d
W13d
W14d
D15d
L34d
W55d
W56d
W58d
4-match win streak · carried over from Tokyo, Ningbo — first match of this tournament
Noskova L. · all surfaces (latest first)
L31d
W33d
W35d
W40d
W42d
W45d
L59d
W61d
W63d
W64d
On hard7–3 · 70%· won 1+ set 8/10
L31d
W33d
W35d
L59d
W61d
W63d
W64d
W67d
L79d
W80d
Recent form
Rybakina E. · all surfacesNoskova L. · all surfaces
810
7/88/10
1/82/10
88%80%
3/86/10
0/81/10
8/89/10
5/83/10
15 / 617 / 6
+9+11
Limited sample — Rybakina E. has 8 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Rybakina E. · last 8 on hardNoskova L. · last 10 on hard
810
7/87/10
1/83/10
88%70%
3/85/10
0/82/10
8/88/10
5/83/10
15 / 615 / 8
+9+7
Head-to-head
3/30/3
30
3 meetings · 0 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 6.7%
Rybakina E.
1.45▼
Implied 65%
Edge +4.4%
Noskova L.
2.65▲
Implied 35%
Edge -4.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Rybakina E.
69%
Noskova L.
31%
high confidenceData 83%hard2 H2H used
◀ Rybakina E.Why the model leansNoskova L. ▶
Ranking
+0.87
Surface
+0.15
Form
+0.04
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Rybakina E. Form
Rybakina E.
Noskova L. Form
Noskova L.
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