Tennis · Tokyo · Japan · hard
Rybakina E. vs Fernandez L.
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Rybakina E. a 82% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 1 against No. 23 and a 4-2 head-to-head lead.
Key facts
- Rybakina E. has won 4 matches in a row.
- Rybakina E. has won 8 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Fernandez L. has won 8 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- They last met on 25 Oct 2026, when Rybakina E. won 2-0.
Japan•WTA•Tokyo•hard
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 08:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Rybakina E.Fernandez L.
82%
18%
Rybakina E. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W5d
W6d
W7d
D8d
L27d
W48d
W49d
W51d
W53d
4-match win streak · 1 at Tokyo · 3 at other events (Ningbo)
On hard8–1 · 89%· won 1+ set 9/9
W1d
W5d
W6d
W7d
D8d
L27d
W48d
W49d
W51d
W53d
4-match win streak · 1 at Tokyo · 3 at other events (Ningbo)
Fernandez L. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W3d
L5d
W6d
W7d
W9d
W11d
L15d
W16d
W18d
2-match win streak · all at Tokyo — built in this tournament
On hard8–2 · 80%· won 1+ set 9/10
W1d
W3d
L5d
W6d
W7d
W9d
W11d
L15d
W16d
W18d
2-match win streak · all at Tokyo — built in this tournament
Recent form
Rybakina E. · all surfacesFernandez L. · all surfaces
910
8/98/10
1/92/10
89%80%
4/94/10
0/91/10
9/99/10
5/95/10
17 / 617 / 8
+11+9
Limited sample — Rybakina E. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Rybakina E. · last 9 on hardFernandez L. · last 10 on hard
910
8/98/10
1/92/10
89%80%
4/94/10
0/91/10
9/99/10
5/95/10
17 / 617 / 8
+11+9
Head-to-head
4/62/6
30
6 meetings · 3 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Model Prediction
Rybakina E.
82%
Fernandez L.
18%
medium confidenceData 66%hard5 H2H used
◀ Rybakina E.Why the model leansFernandez L. ▶
Ranking
+1.32
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.09
H2H
+0.02
Model v2.3-2026-06
Rybakina E. Form
Rybakina E.
Fernandez L. Form
Fernandez L.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
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