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Match Intelligence

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Tennis · Stockholm · Sweden · hard

Rune H. vs Bergs Z.

Tuesday, 10 November 2026

Match preview

The model gives Bergs Z. a 56% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 44 against No. 406. Bookmakers give Bergs Z. about 42% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market.

Key facts

Bergs Z. has lost 3 matches in a row.
They last met on 15 Feb 2022, when Rune H. won 2-1.

Sweden•ATP•Stockholm•hard

Rune H.

Age 23 · Rank #406

Bergs Z.

Age 27 · Rank #44

Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 20:00

Model win probability

Rune H.Bergs Z.

44%

56%

Rune H. · all surfaces (latest first)

L7d

L11d

W13d

W15d

L34d

L40d

W52d

W53d

W388d

W389d

2 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Basel — first match of this tournament

On hard4–5 · 44%· won 1+ set 7/9

L7d

L11d

W13d

W15d

L34d

L40d

W388d

W389d

W390d

L397d

2 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Basel — first match of this tournament

Bergs Z. · all surfaces (latest first)

L8d

L14d

L18d

W19d

W21d

L27d

W29d

W31d

W33d

L40d

3 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Basel — first match of this tournament

On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 7/10

L8d

L14d

L18d

W19d

W21d

L27d

W29d

W31d

W33d

L40d

3 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Basel — first match of this tournament

Recent form

Rune H. · all surfacesBergs Z. · all surfaces

910

5/95/10

4/95/10

56%50%

1/95/10

2/93/10

7/97/10

6/92/10

12 / 1212 / 10

+0+2

Limited sample — Rune H. has 9 matches on record.

On hard (this match's surface)

Rune H. · last 9 on hardBergs Z. · last 10 on hard

910

4/95/10

5/95/10

44%50%

1/95/10

2/93/10

7/97/10

6/92/10

11 / 1312 / 10

-2+2

Head-to-head

2/20/2

2 meetings · 1 went to a deciding set

Market Odds

Vig 6.2%

Rune H.

1.62

Implied 58%

Edge -14.1%

Bergs Z.

2.25▲

Implied 42%

Edge +14.1%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.

Model Prediction

Rune H.

44%

Bergs Z.

56%

low confidenceData 24%hard2 H2H used

◀ Rune H.Why the model leansBergs Z. ▶

Ranking

-0.93

Surface

-0.15

Form

-0.19

H2H

0.00

Model v2.3-2026-06

Rune H. Form

Rune H.

03 Nov2026

Paul T.ATP #13 vs Rune H.ATP #406

2-0L

30 Oct2026

Rune H.ATP #406 vs Vacherot V.ATP #27

1-2L

28 Oct2026

Hurkacz H.ATP #30 vs Rune H.ATP #406

1-2W

26 Oct2026

Rune H.ATP #406 vs Halys Q.ATP #45

2-1W

07 Oct2026

Rune H.ATP #406 vs Altmaier D.ATP #73

1-2L

01 Oct2026

Rune H.ATP #406 vs Jacquet K.ATP #85

0-2L

19 Sept2026

Rune H.ATP #406 vs Dimitrov G.ATP #135

2-1W

18 Sept2026

Rune H.ATP #406 vs Radulov I.ATP #563

2-0W

18 Oct2025

Rune H.ATP #406 vs Humbert U.ATP #39

1-0W

17 Oct2025

Rune H.ATP #406 vs Etcheverry T. M.ATP #29

2-1W

Bergs Z. Form

Bergs Z.

02 Nov2026

Buse I.ATP #32 vs Bergs Z.ATP #44

2-0L

27 Oct2026

Hurkacz H.ATP #30 vs Bergs Z.ATP #44

2-1L

23 Oct2026

Struff J-l.ATP #37 vs Bergs Z.ATP #44

2-0L

22 Oct2026

Dzumhur D.ATP #90 vs Bergs Z.ATP #44

0-2W

20 Oct2026

Samuel T.ATP #95 vs Bergs Z.ATP #44

0-2W

14 Oct2026

Paul T.ATP #13 vs Bergs Z.ATP #44

2-0L

12 Oct2026

Bergs Z.ATP #44 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3

2-0W

10 Oct2026

Buse I.ATP #32 vs Bergs Z.ATP #44

0-2W

08 Oct2026

Kopriva V.ATP #69 vs Bergs Z.ATP #44

0-2W

01 Oct2026

Lehecka J.ATP #15 vs Bergs Z.ATP #44

2-1L

Head-to-Head

Last 10

15 Feb2022

Bergs Z.ATP #44 vs Rune H.ATP #406

1-2

23 Jan2021

Bergs Z.ATP #44 vs Rune H.ATP #406

0-2

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