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Tennis · Cincinnati · USA · hard

Rublev A. vs Carreno-Busta P.

Sunday, 16 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Rublev A.2-0Carreno-Busta P.
Set 1
7-6
Set 2
6-1

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Rublev A. a 60% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 18 against No. 72 and a 5-0 head-to-head lead. Rublev A. won 2-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 27 Sept 2024, when Rublev A. won 2-1.
USA•ATP•Cincinnati•hard
Rublev A.
Age 28 · Rank #18
VS
Age 35 · Rank #72
Carreno-Busta P.
Sunday, 16 August 2026 at 22:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Rublev A.2-0Carreno-Busta P.
Set 1
7-6
Set 2
6-1
Model win probability
Rublev A.Carreno-Busta P.
60%
40%
Head-to-head
5/50/5
10
5 meetings · 4 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Rublev A.
60%
Carreno-Busta P.
40%
low confidenceData 85%hard3 H2H used
◀ Rublev A.Why the model leansCarreno-Busta P. ▶
Ranking
+0.58
Surface
-0.30
Form
-0.12
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Rublev A. Form
Rublev A.
04 Aug2026
Shang J.ATP #228 vs Rublev A.ATP #18
2-1L
24 Jul2026
Rublev A.ATP #18 vs Van Assche L.ATP #54
1-2L
23 Jul2026
Rublev A.ATP #18 vs Skatov T.ATP #149
2-0W
19 Jul2026
Rublev A.ATP #18 vs Darderi L.ATP #20
2-0W
18 Jul2026
Rublev A.ATP #18 vs Tabilo A.ATP #29
2-1W
17 Jul2026
Rublev A.ATP #18 vs Baez S.ATP #53
2-0W
16 Jul2026
Rublev A.ATP #18 vs Pellegrino A.ATP #135
2-1W
29 Jun2026
Rublev A.ATP #18 vs Safiullin R.ATP #103
2-3L
24 Jun2026
Rublev A.ATP #18 vs Kokkinakis T.ATP #440
1-2L
23 Jun2026
Rublev A.ATP #18 vs Shevchenko A.ATP #89
2-1W
Carreno-Busta P. Form
Carreno-busta P.
14 Aug2026
Machac T.ATP #62 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #72
0-2W
04 Aug2026
Carreno-busta P.ATP #72 vs Royer V.ATP #78
1-2L
23 Jul2026
Van Assche L.ATP #54 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #72
2-1L
21 Jul2026
Gaubas V.ATP #123 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #72
0-2W
15 Jul2026
Carreno-busta P.ATP #72 vs Ugo Carabelli C.ATP #76
1-2L
14 Jul2026
Dodig M.ATP #251 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #72
0-2W
02 Jul2026
Jodar R.ATP #11 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #72
3-2L
29 Jun2026
Shapovalov D.ATP #48 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #72
0-2W
31 May2026
Jodar R.ATP #11 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #72
3-2L
29 May2026
Tirante T. A.ATP #50 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #72
1-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
27 Sept2024
Rublev A.ATP #18 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #72
2-1
27 Jul2019
Rublev A.ATP #18 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #72
2-1
29 Dec2017
Carreno-busta P.ATP #72 vs Rublev A.ATP #18
0-2
09 May2015
Carreno-busta P.ATP #72 vs Rublev A.ATP #18
1-2
27 Mar2015
Rublev A.ATP #18 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #72
2-1

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