Tennis · Orleans · France · hard
Rodionov J. vs Martinez P.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Rodionov J. a 61% chance on hard courts. Martinez P. is the higher-ranked player (No. 124 against No. 142), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Bookmakers give Rodionov J. about 73% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Rodionov J. has won 5 matches in a row.
- Martinez P. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- They last met on 24 Jul 2018, when Martinez P. won 2-0.
France•Challenger•Orleans•hard
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Rodionov J.Martinez P.
61%
39%
Rodionov J. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W2d
W3d
W4d
W6d
L12d
L22d
W51d
W52d
L61d
5-match win streak · carried over from Bratislava 2 — first match of this tournament
Fresh off a deep run at Bratislava 2 with little time to recover — sharpness may be down early here.
On hard6–4 · 60%· won 1+ set 9/10
W1d
W2d
W3d
W4d
W6d
L12d
L22d
L61d
W62d
L67d
5-match win streak · carried over from Bratislava 2 — first match of this tournament
Fresh off a deep run at Bratislava 2 with little time to recover — sharpness may be down early here.
Martinez P. · all surfaces (latest first)
L26d
L30d
W31d
W32d
W34d
L48d
L57d
W58d
W59d
W61d
2 straight losses · carried over from Maia, Villena — first match of this tournament
On hard6–3 · 67%· won 1+ set 6/9
L30d
W31d
W32d
W34d
L76d
L78d
W79d
W81d
W82d
W83d
Recent form
Rodionov J. · all surfacesMartinez P. · all surfaces
109
7/105/9
3/104/9
70%56%
5/103/9
1/104/9
9/105/9
4/102/9
16 / 810 / 10
+8+0
Limited sample — Martinez P. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Rodionov J. · last 10 on hardMartinez P. · last 9 on hard
109
6/106/9
4/103/9
60%67%
4/104/9
1/103/9
9/106/9
5/102/9
15 / 1112 / 8
+4+4
Head-to-head
0/11/1
01
1 meeting · 0 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 8.2%
Rodionov J.
1.27▼
Implied 73%
Edge -11.8%
Martinez P.
3.40▲
Implied 27%
Edge +11.8%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Rodionov J.
61%
Martinez P.
39%
low confidenceData 24%hard0 H2H used
◀ Rodionov J.Why the model leansMartinez P. ▶
Ranking
-0.06
Surface
-0.30
Form
+0.11
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Rodionov J. Form
Rodionov J.
Martinez P. Form
Martinez P.
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