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Tennis · Stockholm · Sweden · hard

Rinderknech A. vs Kecmanovic M.

Tuesday, 10 November 2026

Match preview

The model gives Rinderknech A. a 65% chance on hard courts. That rests on 4 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 2 and a 3-1 head-to-head lead. Bookmakers give Rinderknech A. about 66% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.

Key facts

They last met on 5 Aug 2026, when Rinderknech A. won 2-1.

Sweden•ATP•Stockholm•hard

Rinderknech A.

Age 31 · Rank #58

Kecmanovic M.

Age 27 · Rank #64

Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 18:00

Model win probability

Rinderknech A.Kecmanovic M.

65%

35%

Rinderknech A. · all surfaces (latest first)

L5d

W6d

D7d

L14d

L52d

L67d

W69d

W72d

L86d

On hard3–5 · 38%· won 1+ set 6/8

L5d

W6d

D7d

L14d

L67d

W69d

W72d

L86d

L94d

W95d

Kecmanovic M. · all surfaces (latest first)

L9d

W10d

L17d

L22d

L28d

L32d

W34d

L43d

L47d

W52d

On hard2–8 · 20%· won 1+ set 5/10

L9d

W10d

L17d

L22d

L28d

L32d

W34d

L43d

L47d

L72d

Recent form

Rinderknech A. · all surfacesKecmanovic M. · all surfaces

910

3/93/10

6/97/10

33%30%

2/91/10

3/95/10

6/95/10

6/94/10

11 / 148 / 16

-3-8

Limited sample — Rinderknech A. has 9 matches on record.

On hard (this match's surface)

Rinderknech A. · last 8 on hardKecmanovic M. · last 10 on hard

810

3/82/10

5/88/10

38%20%

2/81/10

2/85/10

6/85/10

6/84/10

11 / 127 / 18

-1-11

Head-to-head

3/41/4

4 meetings · 3 went to a deciding set

Market Odds

Vig 6.8%

Rinderknech A.

1.42▲

Implied 66%

Edge -0.9%

Kecmanovic M.

2.75▼

Implied 34%

Edge +0.9%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.

Model Prediction

Rinderknech A.

65%

Kecmanovic M.

35%

high confidenceData 90%hard2 H2H used

◀ Rinderknech A.Why the model leansKecmanovic M. ▶

Ranking

+0.04

Surface

+0.20

Form

+0.24

H2H

0.00

Model v2.3-2026-06

Rinderknech A. Form

Rinderknech A.

05 Nov2026

Shelton B.ATP #4 vs Rinderknech A.ATP #58

2-1L

04 Nov2026

Bellucci M.ATP #62 vs Rinderknech A.ATP #58

0-2W

03 Nov2026

Rinderknech A.ATP #58 vs Cerundolo F.ATP #20

1-1D

27 Oct2026

Kym J.ATP #143 vs Rinderknech A.ATP #58

2-0L

19 Sept2026

Auger-aliassime F.ATP #14 vs Rinderknech A.ATP #58

2-1L

19 Sept2026

Draxl L.ATP #165 vs Rinderknech A.ATP #58

2-0L

04 Sept2026

Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Rinderknech A.ATP #58

3-0L

02 Sept2026

Munar J.ATP #70 vs Rinderknech A.ATP #58

0-3W

30 Aug2026

Shimabukuro S.ATP #123 vs Rinderknech A.ATP #58

1-3W

16 Aug2026

Rinderknech A.ATP #58 vs Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54

1-2L

Kecmanovic M. Form

Kecmanovic M.

01 Nov2026

Cerundolo J. M.ATP #54 vs Kecmanovic M.ATP #64

2-1L

31 Oct2026

Duckworth J.ATP #76 vs Kecmanovic M.ATP #64

1-2W

24 Oct2026

Kecmanovic M.ATP #64 vs Hijikata R.ATP #59

0-2L

19 Oct2026

Kecmanovic M.ATP #64 vs Duckworth J.ATP #76

0-2L

13 Oct2026

Kecmanovic M.ATP #64 vs Shevchenko A.ATP #107

0-2L

09 Oct2026

Kecmanovic M.ATP #64 vs Mensik J.ATP #16

0-2L

07 Oct2026

Shimabukuro S.ATP #123 vs Kecmanovic M.ATP #64

0-2W

28 Sept2026

Kecmanovic M.ATP #64 vs Mannarino A.ATP #61

1-2L

24 Sept2026

Kecmanovic M.ATP #64 vs Basilashvili N.ATP #86

0-2L

19 Sept2026

Kecmanovic M.ATP #64 vs Butvilas E.ATP #213

2-1W

Head-to-Head

Last 10

05 Aug2026

Kecmanovic M.ATP #64 vs Rinderknech A.ATP #58

1-2

20 May2025

Rinderknech A.ATP #58 vs Kecmanovic M.ATP #64

2-0

31 Aug2021

Kecmanovic M.ATP #64 vs Rinderknech A.ATP #58

2-3

21 Apr2021

Rinderknech A.ATP #58 vs Kecmanovic M.ATP #64

1-2

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