Tennis · Helsinki · Finland · hard
Ribecai M. vs Butvilas E.
Tuesday, 17 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Butvilas E. a 60% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 213 against No. 281. Bookmakers give Butvilas E. about 58% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Ribecai M. has won 4 matches in a row.
- Butvilas E. has won just 3 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Recent form favours Ribecai M.: 7 wins from the last 10 matches, against 3 for Butvilas E.
Finland•Challenger•Helsinki•hard
Tuesday, 17 November 2026 at 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Ribecai M.Butvilas E.
40%
60%
Ribecai M. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W2d
W3d
W5d
L12d
L21d
W22d
W23d
W24d
D26d
4-match win streak · carried over from Hersonissos 3 — first match of this tournament
Fresh off a deep run at Hersonissos 3 with little time to recover — sharpness may be down early here.
On hard4–5 · 44%· won 1+ set 5/9
W1d
W2d
W3d
W5d
L12d
L56d
L60d
L68d
L73d
W74d
4-match win streak · carried over from Hersonissos 3 — first match of this tournament
Fresh off a deep run at Hersonissos 3 with little time to recover — sharpness may be down early here.
Butvilas E. · all surfaces (latest first)
L6d
W7d
L12d
L29d
L33d
L39d
L44d
W45d
W46d
L52d
On hard3–7 · 30%· won 1+ set 7/10
L6d
W7d
L12d
L29d
L33d
L39d
L44d
W45d
W46d
L52d
Recent form
Ribecai M. · all surfacesButvilas E. · all surfaces
810
6/83/10
2/87/10
75%30%
4/83/10
1/83/10
7/87/10
3/84/10
13 / 610 / 14
+7-4
Limited sample — Ribecai M. has 8 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Ribecai M. · last 9 on hardButvilas E. · last 10 on hard
910
4/93/10
5/97/10
44%30%
2/93/10
4/93/10
5/97/10
3/94/10
9 / 1210 / 14
-3-4
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.1%
Ribecai M.
2.20
Implied 42%
Edge -1.6%
Butvilas E.
1.57▼
Implied 58%
Edge +1.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Ribecai M.
40%
Butvilas E.
60%
high confidenceData 95%hard0 H2H used
◀ Ribecai M.Why the model leansButvilas E. ▶
Ranking
-0.12
Surface
-0.41
Form
-0.13
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Ribecai M. Form
Ribecai M.
Butvilas E. Form
Butvilas E.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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