Tennis · Tokyo · Japan · hard
Rakhimova K. vs Joint M.
Friday, 30 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Joint M. a 53% chance on hard courts. Rakhimova K. is the higher-ranked player (No. 66 against No. 94), so the model is leaning on form rather than ranking. Bookmakers give Joint M. about 54% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Joint M. has won 4 matches in a row.
Japan•WTA•Tokyo•hard
Friday, 30 October 2026 at 05:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Rakhimova K.Joint M.
47%
53%
Rakhimova K. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
L4d
W5d
L10d
W11d
W12d
L18d
W19d
L24d
W26d
On hard6–4 · 60%· won 1+ set 6/10
W1d
L4d
W5d
L10d
W11d
W12d
L18d
W19d
L24d
W26d
Joint M. · all surfaces (latest first)
W1d
W2d
W4d
W5d
L9d
W11d
W12d
L19d
L29d
L32d
4-match win streak · all at Tokyo — built in this tournament
On hard6–4 · 60%· won 1+ set 9/10
W1d
W2d
W4d
W5d
L9d
W11d
W12d
L19d
L29d
L32d
4-match win streak · all at Tokyo — built in this tournament
Recent form
Rakhimova K. · all surfacesJoint M. · all surfaces
1010
6/106/10
4/104/10
60%60%
3/103/10
4/101/10
6/109/10
3/106/10
12 / 1115 / 11
+1+4
On hard (this match's surface)
Rakhimova K. · last 10 on hardJoint M. · last 10 on hard
1010
6/106/10
4/104/10
60%60%
3/103/10
4/101/10
6/109/10
3/106/10
12 / 1115 / 11
+1+4
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 5.3%
Rakhimova K.
2.05▲
Implied 46%
Edge +0.7%
Joint M.
1.77▼
Implied 54%
Edge -0.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Rakhimova K.
47%
Joint M.
53%
high confidenceData 100%hard0 H2H used
◀ Rakhimova K.Why the model leansJoint M. ▶
Ranking
+0.15
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.18
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Rakhimova K. Form
Rakhimova K.
Joint M. Form
Joint M.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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