Tennis · Matsuyama · Japan · hard
Poljicak M. vs Uchida K.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Poljicak M. a 63% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 276 against No. 431. Bookmakers give Poljicak M. about 65% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.
Key facts
- Poljicak M. has lost 4 matches in a row.
- Poljicak M. has won just 3 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
Japan•Challenger•Matsuyama•hard
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 04:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Poljicak M.Uchida K.
63%
37%
Poljicak M. · all surfaces (latest first)
L6d
L14d
L27d
L35d
W36d
L39d
W42d
L63d
L70d
L77d
4 straight losses · carried over from Taipei, Ningbo — first match of this tournament
On hard3–7 · 30%· won 1+ set 6/10
L6d
L14d
L27d
L35d
W36d
L39d
W42d
L263d
W264d
L268d
4 straight losses · carried over from Taipei, Ningbo — first match of this tournament
Uchida K. · all surfaces (latest first)
L7d
W8d
L12d
W14d
L20d
L28d
W29d
L32d
W34d
L48d
On hard3–6 · 33%· won 1+ set 4/9
L7d
W8d
L12d
W14d
L20d
L28d
W29d
L32d
W34d
L48d
Recent form
Poljicak M. · all surfacesUchida K. · all surfaces
109
2/103/9
8/106/9
20%33%
1/103/9
6/105/9
4/104/9
3/101/9
6 / 177 / 12
-11-5
Limited sample — Uchida K. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Poljicak M. · last 10 on hardUchida K. · last 9 on hard
109
3/103/9
7/106/9
30%33%
2/103/9
4/105/9
6/104/9
4/101/9
9 / 157 / 12
-6-5
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 9.2%
Poljicak M.
1.40▼
Implied 65%
Edge -2.4%
Uchida K.
2.65▲
Implied 35%
Edge +2.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Poljicak M.
63%
Uchida K.
37%
high confidenceData 95%hard0 H2H used
◀ Poljicak M.Why the model leansUchida K. ▶
Ranking
+0.19
Surface
+0.15
Form
+0.01
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Poljicak M. Form
Poljicak M.
Uchida K. Form
Uchida K.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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