Tennis · Matsuyama · Japan · hard
Poljicak M. vs Tseng C. H.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Tseng C. H. a 54% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 230 against No. 276. Bookmakers give Tseng C. H. about 62% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Poljicak M. has lost 4 matches in a row.
- Poljicak M. has won just 3 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Tseng C. H. has won just 3 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
Japan•Challenger•Matsuyama•hard
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 03:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Poljicak M.Tseng C. H.
46%
54%
Poljicak M. · all surfaces (latest first)
L6d
L14d
L27d
L35d
W36d
L39d
W42d
L63d
L70d
L77d
4 straight losses · carried over from Taipei, Ningbo — first match of this tournament
On hard3–7 · 30%· won 1+ set 6/10
L6d
L14d
L27d
L35d
W36d
L39d
W42d
L263d
W264d
L268d
4 straight losses · carried over from Taipei, Ningbo — first match of this tournament
Tseng C. H. · all surfaces (latest first)
L5d
L35d
W50d
W51d
L62d
L65d
W66d
W68d
W69d
L79d
2 straight losses · carried over from Taipei, Shanghai — first match of this tournament
On hard3–6 · 33%· won 1+ set 4/9
L5d
L35d
L62d
L65d
W66d
W68d
W69d
L238d
L243d
L248d
4 straight losses · carried over from Taipei, Shanghai — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Poljicak M. · all surfacesTseng C. H. · all surfaces
109
2/105/9
8/104/9
20%56%
1/105/9
6/102/9
4/107/9
3/102/9
6 / 1712 / 8
-11+4
Limited sample — Tseng C. H. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Poljicak M. · last 10 on hardTseng C. H. · last 9 on hard
109
3/103/9
7/106/9
30%33%
2/103/9
4/105/9
6/104/9
4/101/9
9 / 157 / 12
-6-5
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 7.5%
Poljicak M.
2.45▲
Implied 38%
Edge +8.0%
Tseng C. H.
1.50
Implied 62%
Edge -8.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Poljicak M.
46%
Tseng C. H.
54%
low confidenceData 56%hard0 H2H used
◀ Poljicak M.Why the model leansTseng C. H. ▶
Ranking
-0.08
Surface
+0.45
Form
+0.01
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Poljicak M. Form
Poljicak M.
Tseng C. H. Form
Tseng C. H.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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