Tennis · Taipei · Taiwan · hard
Poljicak M. vs Shimabukuro S.
Monday, 02 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model gives Shimabukuro S. a 59% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 106 against No. 274. Bookmakers give Shimabukuro S. about 74% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.
Key facts
- Shimabukuro S. has won just 3 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Poljicak M. has lost 3 matches in a row.
Taiwan•Challenger•Taipei•hard
Monday, 02 November 2026 at 05:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Poljicak M.Shimabukuro S.
41%
59%
Poljicak M. · all surfaces (latest first)
L5d
L18d
L26d
W27d
L30d
W33d
L54d
L61d
L68d
L72d
3 straight losses · carried over from Ningbo, Olbia — first match of this tournament
On hard4–6 · 40%· won 1+ set 7/10
L5d
L18d
L26d
W27d
L30d
W33d
L254d
W255d
L259d
W260d
3 straight losses · carried over from Ningbo, Olbia — first match of this tournament
Shimabukuro S. · all surfaces (latest first)
L1d
W2d
W4d
L9d
W11d
L24d
L30d
L37d
W41d
W42d
On hard3–7 · 30%· won 1+ set 4/10
L1d
W2d
W4d
L9d
W11d
L24d
L30d
L37d
L62d
L69d
Recent form
Poljicak M. · all surfacesShimabukuro S. · all surfaces
1010
2/105/10
8/105/10
20%50%
1/103/10
6/105/10
4/105/10
3/102/10
6 / 1710 / 12
-11-2
On hard (this match's surface)
Poljicak M. · last 10 on hardShimabukuro S. · last 10 on hard
1010
4/103/10
6/107/10
40%30%
3/102/10
3/106/10
7/104/10
4/102/10
11 / 137 / 16
-2-9
First meeting — no head-to-head history between these players.
Market Odds
Vig 8.6%
Poljicak M.
3.50
Implied 26%
Edge +14.7%
Shimabukuro S.
1.25
Implied 74%
Edge -14.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Poljicak M.
41%
Shimabukuro S.
59%
low confidenceData 25%hard0 H2H used
◀ Poljicak M.Why the model leansShimabukuro S. ▶
Ranking
-0.40
Surface
+0.60
Form
+0.24
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Poljicak M. Form
Poljicak M.
Shimabukuro S. Form
Shimabukuro S.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
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